Rogers Communications Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| RCI Stock | USD 36.90 0.33 0.90% |
Rogers Communications's 4 Period Moving Average forecast is generated from the selected price series and evaluated against observed values. Forecast accuracy depends on how stable the recent price trend has been — trending markets suit some models better than others. The forecast is recalculated with each session so it does not rely on stale inputs. A small Bias confirms the model is not systematically over- or under-predicting. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects Rogers Communications at 36.70 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. All values shown are model-generated projections and should be evaluated alongside other analytical inputs.
4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts Rogers Communications at 36.70 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and sum of absolute errors of 41.50 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Rogers Communications' price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Rogers Communications | Rogers Communications Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast range for Rogers Communications defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The model places downside around 34.34 and upside around 39.06 for the next session. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Rogers Communications stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.0534 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0592 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.728 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.02 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 41.495 |
Other Forecasting Options for Rogers Communications
Bollinger Bands applied to Rogers Stock price data measure how far Rogers has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to Rogers Communications' price data. On-balance volume for Rogers Stock creates a running indicator of buying versus selling pressure in Rogers. Price departures from the channel boundary often mean-revert, offering tactical signals for Rogers Communications'.Rogers Communications Related Equities
The stocks listed below are peers of Rogers Communications within the Communication Services space and offer context for ranking and strength. Revenue and margin checks across this group help investors set expectations for Rogers Communications' results.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rogers Communications Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Rogers Communications quantify how the stock responds to shifts in volume and sentiment. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in Rogers Communications. The Market Facilitation Index measures how efficiently price moves relative to volume — rising MFI with rising volume signals strong trend participation. Monitoring these indicators for Rogers Communications through complete market cycles reveals recurring patterns.
Rogers Communications Risk Indicators
Analyzing Rogers Communications' risk indicators separates symmetric price swings from asymmetric downside exposure. Understanding and quantifying the risks present in Rogers Communications helps place recent price behavior in context. These metrics are most informative when compared against similar equities with comparable growth profiles and market capitalization. When semi-deviation is high relative to standard deviation, Rogers Communications' losses have been disproportionately large compared to gains.
| Mean Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.35 | |||
| Variance | 5.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.75 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.41 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Rogers Communications Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Rogers Communications matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 540.67 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.34 billion |