Rogers Communications Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RCI Stock | USD 37.12 0.25 0.68% |
Rogers Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Rogers Communications' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Rogers Communications' share price is at 51 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Rogers Communications, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.37 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.0982 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.9178 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.1372 | Wall Street Target Price 41.4819 |
Using Rogers Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rogers Communications from the perspective of Rogers Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Rogers Communications using Rogers Communications' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Rogers using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Rogers Communications' stock price.
Rogers Communications Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Rogers Communications' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Rogers. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Rogers Communications stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 33.5644 | Short Percent 0.0064 | Short Ratio 6.75 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.8 M | 50 Day MA 37.2002 |
Rogers Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rogers Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 37.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.14.Rogers Communications Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Rogers Communications' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Rogers. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Rogers can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Rogers Communications. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Rogers Communications' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Rogers Communications.
Rogers Communications Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
Rogers Communications' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Rogers Communications stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Rogers Communications' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Rogers Communications stock will not fluctuate a lot when Rogers Communications' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rogers Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 37.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.14. Rogers Communications after-hype prediction price | USD 36.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rogers Communications to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Rogers contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Rogers Communications will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Rogers Communications trading at USD 37.12, that is roughly USD 0.0104 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Rogers Communications' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Rogers Communications options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Rogers Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Rogers Communications' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Rogers Communications' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Rogers Communications stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Rogers Communications' open interest, investors have to compare it to Rogers Communications' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Rogers Communications is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Rogers. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Rogers Communications Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rogers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rogers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rogers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Rogers Communications Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rogers Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 37.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rogers Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rogers Communications' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Rogers Communications Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Rogers Communications | Rogers Communications Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Rogers Communications Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Rogers Communications' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rogers Communications' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.79 and 38.45, respectively. We have considered Rogers Communications' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rogers Communications stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rogers Communications stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.8567 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.004 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3523 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0095 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.14 |
Predictive Modules for Rogers Communications
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rogers Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rogers Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rogers Communications After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rogers Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rogers Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rogers Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rogers Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rogers Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rogers Communications' historical news coverage. Rogers Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.54 and 38.20, respectively. We have considered Rogers Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rogers Communications is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rogers Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rogers Communications Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rogers Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rogers Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rogers Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
37.12 | 36.87 | 0.00 |
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Rogers Communications Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February Rogers Communications is traded for 37.12. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Rogers is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Rogers Communications is about 83.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.10. About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.56. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Rogers Communications has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.91. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.44. The firm last dividend was issued on the 10th of March 2026. Rogers Communications had 2:1 split on the 8th of January 2007. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rogers Communications to cross-verify your projections.Rogers Communications Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rogers Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rogers Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Rogers Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rogers Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BCE | BCE Inc | (0.13) | 7 per month | 0.87 | 0.10 | 1.98 | (1.60) | 6.21 | |
| TLK | Telkom Indonesia Tbk | (0.05) | 6 per month | 2.74 | 0.02 | 2.94 | (2.90) | 17.24 | |
| VIV | Telefonica Brasil SA | (0.02) | 8 per month | 2.20 | 0.07 | 3.13 | (2.90) | 11.53 | |
| TU | Telus Corp | (0.24) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.72 | (1.87) | 6.20 | |
| CHTR | Charter Communications | (9.34) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.98 | (4.28) | 9.83 | |
| TWLO | Twilio Inc | (5.48) | 9 per month | 2.71 | 0.02 | 4.10 | (4.39) | 28.45 | |
| LBRDA | Liberty Broadband Srs | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.01 | (4.05) | 10.23 | |
| VOD | Vodafone Group PLC | (0.06) | 10 per month | 1.43 | 0.16 | 2.50 | (2.73) | 11.03 | |
| PINS | (0.66) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.76 | (3.63) | 23.57 | ||
| TEF | Telefonica SA ADR | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.81 | (2.80) | 13.46 |
Other Forecasting Options for Rogers Communications
For every potential investor in Rogers, whether a beginner or expert, Rogers Communications' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rogers Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rogers. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rogers Communications' price trends.Rogers Communications Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rogers Communications stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rogers Communications could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rogers Communications by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rogers Communications Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rogers Communications stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rogers Communications shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rogers Communications stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rogers Communications entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Rogers Communications Risk Indicators
The analysis of Rogers Communications' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rogers Communications' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rogers stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9551 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Variance | 1.79 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Rogers Communications
The number of cover stories for Rogers Communications depends on current market conditions and Rogers Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rogers Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rogers Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rogers Communications to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Rogers Stock please use our How to Invest in Rogers Communications guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is there potential for Wireless Telecommunication Services market expansion? Will Rogers introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rogers Communications. Anticipated expansion of Rogers directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Rogers Communications listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.37 | Dividend Share 2 | Earnings Share 9.44 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.126 |
Understanding Rogers Communications requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Rogers's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Rogers Communications' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Rogers Communications' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Rogers Communications' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Rogers Communications should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Rogers Communications' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.