Radware Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| RDWR Stock | USD 24.15 0.11 0.45% |
Radware Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Radware's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Radware's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Radware fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Radware's share price is approaching 47 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Radware, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.857 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2853 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.138 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.1823 | Wall Street Target Price 30.6667 |
Using Radware hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Radware from the perspective of Radware response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Radware using Radware's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Radware using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Radware's stock price.
Radware Short Interest
An investor who is long Radware may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Radware and may potentially protect profits, hedge Radware with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 25.0806 | Short Percent 0.021 | Short Ratio 2.72 | Shares Short Prior Month 925.6 K | 50 Day MA 23.7822 |
Radware Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Radware on the next trading day is expected to be 24.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.93.Radware Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Radware's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Radware. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Radware can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Radware. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Radware's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Radware.
Radware Implied Volatility | 0.66 |
Radware's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Radware stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Radware's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Radware stock will not fluctuate a lot when Radware's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Radware on the next trading day is expected to be 24.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.93. Radware after-hype prediction price | USD 24.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Radware to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Radware contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Radware will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0413% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Radware trading at USD 24.15, that is roughly USD 0.009962 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Radware's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Radware options at the current volatility level of 0.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Radware Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Radware's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Radware's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Radware stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Radware's open interest, investors have to compare it to Radware's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Radware is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Radware. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Radware Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Radware price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Radware using various technical indicators. When you analyze Radware charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Radware Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Radware on the next trading day is expected to be 24.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.93.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Radware Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Radware's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Radware Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Radware | Radware Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Radware Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Radware's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Radware's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.19 and 26.18, respectively. We have considered Radware's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Radware stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Radware stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.8369 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4344 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0185 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.9315 |
Predictive Modules for Radware
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Radware. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Radware's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Radware After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Radware at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Radware or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Radware, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Radware Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Radware's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Radware's historical news coverage. Radware's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.64 and 25.64, respectively. We have considered Radware's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Radware is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Radware is based on 3 months time horizon.
Radware Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Radware is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Radware backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Radware, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.15 | 24.14 | 0.04 |
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Radware Hype Timeline
Radware is at this time traded for 24.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Radware is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 24.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Radware is about 1020.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.14. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Radware was at this time reported as 8.13. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 105.65. Radware had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 15th of April 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Radware to cross-verify your projections.Radware Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Radware's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Radware's future price movements. Getting to know how Radware's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Radware may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GCT | GigaCloud Technology Class | (0.49) | 10 per month | 2.88 | 0.12 | 6.24 | (6.01) | 39.06 | |
| RZLV | Rezolve AI Limited | 0.47 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 14.04 | (9.73) | 51.01 | |
| RPD | Rapid7 Inc | (0.20) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 3.15 | (4.96) | 21.42 | |
| YEXT | Yext Inc | (0.06) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.04 | (2.61) | 8.06 | |
| VRNT | Verint Systems | (0.05) | 30 per month | 0.06 | (0.23) | 0.20 | (0.20) | 0.79 | |
| TIXT | TELUS International | 0.33 | 26 per month | 0.92 | 0.07 | 2.41 | (1.78) | 17.91 | |
| ATEN | A10 Network | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.09 | (3.16) | 6.88 | |
| MGIC | Magic Software Enterprises | (2.34) | 7 per month | 2.19 | 0.14 | 4.98 | (3.51) | 16.15 | |
| HKD | AMTD Digital | 0.1 | 26 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 5.04 | (8.72) | 93.20 | |
| ARQQ | Arqit Quantum | 0.71 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 7.88 | (9.81) | 24.25 |
Other Forecasting Options for Radware
For every potential investor in Radware, whether a beginner or expert, Radware's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Radware Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Radware. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Radware's price trends.Radware Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Radware stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Radware could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Radware by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Radware Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Radware stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Radware shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Radware stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Radware entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Radware Risk Indicators
The analysis of Radware's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Radware's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting radware stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Variance | 2.45 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Radware
The number of cover stories for Radware depends on current market conditions and Radware's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Radware is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Radware's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Radware Short Properties
Radware's future price predictability will typically decrease when Radware's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Radware often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Radware's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Radware's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 275.8 M |
Additional Tools for Radware Stock Analysis
When running Radware's price analysis, check to measure Radware's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Radware is operating at the current time. Most of Radware's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Radware's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Radware's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Radware to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.