Regency Centers Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

REG Stock  USD 69.62  1.05  1.53%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Regency Centers on the next trading day is expected to be 70.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.44. Regency Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Regency Centers' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 6th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Regency Centers' share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 7

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Regency Centers' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Regency Centers and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Regency Centers' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Regency Centers, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Regency Centers' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.074
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.5648
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.2989
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.4122
Wall Street Target Price
79.5
Using Regency Centers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Regency Centers from the perspective of Regency Centers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Regency Centers using Regency Centers' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Regency using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Regency Centers' stock price.

Regency Centers Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Regency Centers' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Regency. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Regency Centers stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
71.0154
Short Percent
0.0401
Short Ratio
4.69
Shares Short Prior Month
5.4 M
50 Day MA
69.5974

Regency Centers Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Regency Centers' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Regency. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Regency can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Regency Centers. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Regency Centers' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Regency Centers.

Regency Centers Implied Volatility

    
  0.51  
Regency Centers' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Regency Centers stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Regency Centers' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Regency Centers stock will not fluctuate a lot when Regency Centers' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Regency Centers on the next trading day is expected to be 70.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.44.

Regency Centers after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 68.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Regency Centers to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Regency Stock please use our How to Invest in Regency Centers guide.The Regency Centers' current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 7.76, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 0.80. . The Regency Centers' current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 221 M. The Regency Centers' current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 1.2 B.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Regency Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Regency Centers' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Regency Centers' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Regency Centers stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Regency Centers' open interest, investors have to compare it to Regency Centers' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Regency Centers is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Regency. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Regency Centers Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Regency price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Regency using various technical indicators. When you analyze Regency charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Regency Centers Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Regency Centers' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1994-03-31
Previous Quarter
150.7 M
Current Value
200.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
99.4 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Regency Centers is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Regency Centers value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Regency Centers Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Regency Centers on the next trading day is expected to be 70.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86, mean absolute percentage error of 1.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Regency Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Regency Centers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Regency Centers Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Regency CentersRegency Centers Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Regency Centers Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Regency Centers' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Regency Centers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 69.66 and 71.65, respectively. We have considered Regency Centers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
69.62
70.66
Expected Value
71.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Regency Centers stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Regency Centers stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1658
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8596
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0124
SAESum of the absolute errors52.4383
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Regency Centers. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Regency Centers. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Regency Centers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regency Centers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Regency Centers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.5968.5869.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.7174.2575.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
67.6468.5269.40
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
72.3579.5088.25
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Regency Centers

For every potential investor in Regency, whether a beginner or expert, Regency Centers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Regency Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Regency. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Regency Centers' price trends.

Regency Centers Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Regency Centers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Regency Centers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Regency Centers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Regency Centers Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Regency Centers' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Regency Centers' current price.

Regency Centers Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Regency Centers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Regency Centers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Regency Centers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Regency Centers entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Regency Centers Risk Indicators

The analysis of Regency Centers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Regency Centers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting regency stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Regency Centers is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Regency Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Regency Centers Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Regency Centers Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Regency Centers to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Regency Stock please use our How to Invest in Regency Centers guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Retail REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Regency Centers. If investors know Regency will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Regency Centers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.074
Dividend Share
2.82
Earnings Share
2.2
Revenue Per Share
8.684
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.077
The market value of Regency Centers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Regency that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Regency Centers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Regency Centers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Regency Centers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Regency Centers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Regency Centers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Regency Centers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Regency Centers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.