Regency Centers Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| REG Stock | USD 71.14 0.28 0.40% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Regency Centers on the next trading day is expected to be 71.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.08. Regency Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Regency Centers' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Regency Centers' share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.074 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5648 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.3113 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.4163 | Wall Street Target Price 79.4 |
Using Regency Centers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Regency Centers from the perspective of Regency Centers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Regency Centers using Regency Centers' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Regency using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Regency Centers' stock price.
Regency Centers Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Regency Centers' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Regency. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Regency Centers stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 70.8887 | Short Percent 0.0416 | Short Ratio 4.53 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.3 M | 50 Day MA 69.5434 |
Regency Centers Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Regency Centers' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Regency. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Regency can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Regency Centers. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Regency Centers Implied Volatility | 0.42 |
Regency Centers' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Regency Centers stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Regency Centers' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Regency Centers stock will not fluctuate a lot when Regency Centers' options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Regency Centers on the next trading day is expected to be 71.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.08. Regency Centers after-hype prediction price | USD 71.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Regency Centers to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Regency contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Regency Centers will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0263% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Regency Centers trading at USD 71.14, that is roughly USD 0.0187 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Regency Centers' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Regency Centers options at the current volatility level of 0.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Regency Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Regency Centers' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Regency Centers' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Regency Centers stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Regency Centers' open interest, investors have to compare it to Regency Centers' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Regency Centers is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Regency. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Regency Centers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Regency price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Regency using various technical indicators. When you analyze Regency charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Regency Centers Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Regency Centers on the next trading day is expected to be 71.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59, mean absolute percentage error of 0.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Regency Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Regency Centers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Regency Centers Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Regency Centers | Regency Centers Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Regency Centers Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Regency Centers' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Regency Centers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 70.24 and 72.31, respectively. We have considered Regency Centers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Regency Centers stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Regency Centers stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0837 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5946 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0086 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 35.0834 |
Predictive Modules for Regency Centers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regency Centers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Regency Centers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Regency Centers After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Regency Centers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Regency Centers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Regency Centers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Regency Centers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Regency Centers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Regency Centers' historical news coverage. Regency Centers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 70.11 and 72.17, respectively. We have considered Regency Centers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Regency Centers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Regency Centers is based on 3 months time horizon.
Regency Centers Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Regency Centers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Regency Centers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Regency Centers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.03 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 17 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 17 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
71.14 | 71.14 | 0.00 |
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Regency Centers Hype Timeline
On the 25th of January Regency Centers is traded for 71.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.12. Regency is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Regency Centers is about 16.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.02. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.98. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Regency Centers has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.7. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. The firm had 0:1 split on the October 3, 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 17 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Regency Centers to cross-verify your projections.Regency Centers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Regency Centers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Regency Centers' future price movements. Getting to know how Regency Centers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Regency Centers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KIM | Kimco Realty | (8.99) | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.69 | (1.77) | 4.50 | |
| LAMR | Lamar Advertising | (0.72) | 11 per month | 0.94 | 0.04 | 2.13 | (1.76) | 7.61 | |
| ELS | Equity Lifestyle Properties | (0.17) | 10 per month | 1.12 | (0.03) | 2.11 | (1.69) | 4.43 | |
| OHI | Omega Healthcare Investors | (32.59) | 10 per month | 1.11 | 0.04 | 2.13 | (1.77) | 8.67 | |
| AMH | American Homes 4 | (0.52) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.00 | (2.06) | 7.05 | |
| GLPI | Gaming Leisure Properties | (0.45) | 9 per month | 1.07 | (0.02) | 2.80 | (2.06) | 7.00 | |
| NLY | Annaly Capital Management | (0.09) | 23 per month | 0.74 | 0.15 | 2.39 | (1.46) | 5.24 |
Other Forecasting Options for Regency Centers
For every potential investor in Regency, whether a beginner or expert, Regency Centers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Regency Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Regency. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Regency Centers' price trends.Regency Centers Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Regency Centers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Regency Centers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Regency Centers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Regency Centers Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Regency Centers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Regency Centers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Regency Centers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Regency Centers entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Regency Centers Risk Indicators
The analysis of Regency Centers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Regency Centers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting regency stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7531 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Variance | 1.02 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Regency Centers
The number of cover stories for Regency Centers depends on current market conditions and Regency Centers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Regency Centers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Regency Centers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Regency Centers Short Properties
Regency Centers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Regency Centers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Regency Centers often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Regency Centers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Regency Centers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 183 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Regency Centers to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Regency Stock please use our How to Invest in Regency Centers guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Retail REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Regency Centers. If investors know Regency will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Regency Centers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.074 | Dividend Share 2.82 | Earnings Share 2.18 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.077 |
The market value of Regency Centers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Regency that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Regency Centers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Regency Centers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Regency Centers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Regency Centers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Regency Centers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Regency Centers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Regency Centers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.