Regency Centers Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| REGCP Stock | 23.45 0.05 0.21% |
Regency Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Regency Centers' share price is at 52 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Regency Centers, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Regency Centers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Regency Centers from the perspective of Regency Centers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Regency Centers on the next trading day is expected to be 23.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.04. Regency Centers after-hype prediction price | USD 23.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Regency Centers to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Regency Stock, please use our How to Invest in Regency Centers guide.Regency Centers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Regency price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Regency using various technical indicators. When you analyze Regency charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Regency Centers Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Regency Centers on the next trading day is expected to be 23.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Regency Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Regency Centers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Regency Centers Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Regency Centers | Regency Centers Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Regency Centers Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Regency Centers' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Regency Centers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.89 and 24.12, respectively. We have considered Regency Centers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Regency Centers stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Regency Centers stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.1527 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1135 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0049 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.0389 |
Predictive Modules for Regency Centers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regency Centers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Regency Centers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Regency Centers After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Regency Centers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Regency Centers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Regency Centers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Regency Centers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Regency Centers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Regency Centers' historical news coverage. Regency Centers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.84 and 24.06, respectively. We have considered Regency Centers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Regency Centers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Regency Centers is based on 3 months time horizon.
Regency Centers Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Regency Centers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Regency Centers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Regency Centers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.45 | 23.45 | 0.00 |
|
Regency Centers Hype Timeline
Regency Centers is at this time traded for 23.45. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Regency is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Regency Centers is about 2066.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.45. About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of January 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Regency Centers to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Regency Stock, please use our How to Invest in Regency Centers guide.Regency Centers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Regency Centers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Regency Centers' future price movements. Getting to know how Regency Centers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Regency Centers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MAC | Macerich Company | 0.85 | 17 per month | 1.66 | (0) | 2.43 | (2.31) | 7.29 | |
| PECO | Phillips Edison Co | (0.16) | 13 per month | 0.62 | (0.03) | 1.53 | (0.93) | 4.29 | |
| KRG | Kite Realty Group | (0.16) | 9 per month | 0.95 | (0.04) | 2.04 | (1.65) | 5.39 | |
| CUZ | Cousins Properties Incorporated | 0.25 | 11 per month | 1.40 | (0.06) | 1.77 | (2.57) | 6.66 | |
| SKT | Tanger Factory Outlet | (0.16) | 10 per month | 1.08 | (0.05) | 2.13 | (1.82) | 5.57 | |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | (0.30) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 3.39 | (4.81) | 14.04 | |
| EPR | EPR Properties | 0.43 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.90 | (1.76) | 6.05 | |
| SLG | SL Green Realty | 0.05 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.57 | (3.23) | 10.73 | |
| SBRA | Sabra Healthcare REIT | (0.27) | 10 per month | 1.14 | 0.01 | 2.04 | (1.68) | 5.40 | |
| KRC | Kilroy Realty Corp | (0.83) | 25 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.01 | (2.56) | 6.02 |
Other Forecasting Options for Regency Centers
For every potential investor in Regency, whether a beginner or expert, Regency Centers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Regency Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Regency. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Regency Centers' price trends.Regency Centers Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Regency Centers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Regency Centers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Regency Centers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Regency Centers Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Regency Centers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Regency Centers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Regency Centers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Regency Centers entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Regency Centers Risk Indicators
The analysis of Regency Centers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Regency Centers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting regency stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4417 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6114 | |||
| Variance | 0.3738 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Regency Centers
The number of cover stories for Regency Centers depends on current market conditions and Regency Centers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Regency Centers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Regency Centers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Regency Centers Short Properties
Regency Centers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Regency Centers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Regency Centers often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Regency Centers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Regency Centers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 183 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56.3 M |
Additional Tools for Regency Stock Analysis
When running Regency Centers' price analysis, check to measure Regency Centers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Regency Centers is operating at the current time. Most of Regency Centers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Regency Centers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Regency Centers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Regency Centers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.