REX American Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| REX Stock | USD 33.22 0.52 1.59% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of REX American Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 31.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.19. REX Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength momentum indicator of REX American's share price is at 50 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling REX American, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.39) | EPS Estimate Next Year 3 | Wall Street Target Price 50 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.34 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.07 |
Using REX American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of REX American Resources from the perspective of REX American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards REX American using REX American's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards REX using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of REX American's stock price.
REX American Short Interest
An investor who is long REX American may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about REX American and may potentially protect profits, hedge REX American with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 24.882 | Short Percent 0.0329 | Short Ratio 4.4 | Shares Short Prior Month 640.3 K | 50 Day MA 31.485 |
REX American Resources Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to REX American's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in REX. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding REX can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around REX American Resources. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of REX American's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about REX American.
REX American Implied Volatility | 0.42 |
REX American's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of REX American Resources stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if REX American's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that REX American stock will not fluctuate a lot when REX American's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of REX American Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 31.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.19. REX American after-hype prediction price | USD 32.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of REX American to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 REX Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast REX American's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in REX American's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for REX American stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current REX American's open interest, investors have to compare it to REX American's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of REX American is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in REX. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
REX American Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine REX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for REX using various technical indicators. When you analyze REX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the REX American's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1986-01-31 | Previous Quarter 241 M | Current Value 272 M | Quarterly Volatility 76.1 M |
REX American Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of REX American Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 31.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 0.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict REX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that REX American's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
REX American Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest REX American | REX American Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
REX American Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting REX American's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. REX American's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.83 and 33.53, respectively. We have considered REX American's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of REX American stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent REX American stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1711 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4949 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0151 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 30.1862 |
Predictive Modules for REX American
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as REX American Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of REX American's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for REX American
For every potential investor in REX, whether a beginner or expert, REX American's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. REX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in REX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying REX American's price trends.REX American Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with REX American stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of REX American could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing REX American by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
REX American Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of REX American's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of REX American's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
REX American Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how REX American stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading REX American shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying REX American stock market strength indicators, traders can identify REX American Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
REX American Risk Indicators
The analysis of REX American's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in REX American's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rex stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Variance | 3.53 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.59 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.41) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for REX Stock Analysis
When running REX American's price analysis, check to measure REX American's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy REX American is operating at the current time. Most of REX American's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of REX American's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move REX American's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of REX American to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.