Reinsurance Group Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| RGA Stock | USD 202.83 3.43 1.72% |
Reinsurance Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Reinsurance Group stock prices and determine the direction of Reinsurance Group of's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Reinsurance Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The relative strength indicator of Reinsurance Group's share price is at 58 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Reinsurance Group, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.635 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 5.7496 | EPS Estimate Current Year 20.9839 | EPS Estimate Next Year 25.844 | Wall Street Target Price 236.8889 |
Using Reinsurance Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Reinsurance Group of from the perspective of Reinsurance Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Reinsurance Group using Reinsurance Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Reinsurance using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Reinsurance Group's stock price.
Reinsurance Group Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Reinsurance Group's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Reinsurance. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Reinsurance Group stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 194.2945 | Short Percent 0.0735 | Short Ratio 1.5 | Shares Short Prior Month 548.1 K | 50 Day MA 197.1436 |
Reinsurance Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Reinsurance Group of on the next trading day is expected to be 201.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 118.93.Reinsurance Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Reinsurance Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Reinsurance. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Reinsurance can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Reinsurance Group of. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Reinsurance Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Reinsurance Group.
Reinsurance Group Implied Volatility | 0.39 |
Reinsurance Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Reinsurance Group of stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Reinsurance Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Reinsurance Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when Reinsurance Group's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Reinsurance Group of on the next trading day is expected to be 201.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 118.93. Reinsurance Group after-hype prediction price | USD 201.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Reinsurance contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Reinsurance Group of will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Reinsurance Group trading at USD 202.83, that is roughly USD 0.0494 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Reinsurance Group's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Reinsurance Group of options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Reinsurance Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Reinsurance Group's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Reinsurance Group's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Reinsurance Group stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Reinsurance Group's open interest, investors have to compare it to Reinsurance Group's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Reinsurance Group is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Reinsurance. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Reinsurance Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Reinsurance price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Reinsurance using various technical indicators. When you analyze Reinsurance charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Reinsurance Group Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Reinsurance Group of on the next trading day is expected to be 201.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.02, mean absolute percentage error of 6.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 118.93.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Reinsurance Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Reinsurance Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Reinsurance Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Reinsurance Group | Reinsurance Group Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Reinsurance Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Reinsurance Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Reinsurance Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 199.92 and 202.31, respectively. We have considered Reinsurance Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Reinsurance Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Reinsurance Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.3193 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4486 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0157 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0103 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 118.925 |
Predictive Modules for Reinsurance Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reinsurance Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Reinsurance Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Reinsurance Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Reinsurance Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Reinsurance Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Reinsurance Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Reinsurance Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Reinsurance Group's historical news coverage. Reinsurance Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 200.61 and 202.99, respectively. We have considered Reinsurance Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Reinsurance Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Reinsurance Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Reinsurance Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Reinsurance Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Reinsurance Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Reinsurance Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.19 | 0.30 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
202.83 | 201.80 | 0.15 |
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Reinsurance Group Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Reinsurance Group is traded for 202.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.3, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Reinsurance is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 201.8 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 74.84%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Reinsurance Group is about 1912.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 202.84. The company reported the last year's revenue of 22.04 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 717 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.95 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Reinsurance Group to cross-verify your projections.Reinsurance Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Reinsurance Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Reinsurance Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Reinsurance Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Reinsurance Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RNR | Renaissancere Holdings | 0.60 | 9 per month | 1.24 | 0.11 | 2.66 | (2.01) | 10.07 | |
| EG | Everest Group | 0.20 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.03 | (2.51) | 11.36 | |
| AEG | Aegon NV ADR | 0.02 | 10 per month | 2.12 | 0.02 | 2.39 | (2.18) | 11.41 | |
| UNM | Unum Group | 1.57 | 10 per month | 0.98 | (0.03) | 1.99 | (1.82) | 10.27 | |
| ACGL | Arch Capital Group | (2.14) | 11 per month | 0.84 | 0.09 | 1.82 | (1.42) | 4.71 | |
| CNA | CNA Financial | (0.75) | 8 per month | 0.87 | 0.04 | 1.62 | (1.80) | 4.93 | |
| SF | Stifel Financial | 1.15 | 10 per month | 1.41 | 0.03 | 2.22 | (2.17) | 5.81 | |
| AIZ | Assurant | 0.12 | 10 per month | 0.81 | 0.12 | 2.07 | (1.70) | 5.46 | |
| GL | Globe Life | (0.21) | 9 per month | 0.83 | 0.02 | 1.94 | (1.44) | 4.88 |
Other Forecasting Options for Reinsurance Group
For every potential investor in Reinsurance, whether a beginner or expert, Reinsurance Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Reinsurance Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Reinsurance. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Reinsurance Group's price trends.Reinsurance Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Reinsurance Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Reinsurance Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Reinsurance Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Reinsurance Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Reinsurance Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Reinsurance Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Reinsurance Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Reinsurance Group of entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Reinsurance Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Reinsurance Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Reinsurance Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting reinsurance stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9339 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Variance | 1.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.08 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.96) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Reinsurance Group
The number of cover stories for Reinsurance Group depends on current market conditions and Reinsurance Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Reinsurance Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Reinsurance Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Reinsurance Group Short Properties
Reinsurance Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Reinsurance Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Reinsurance Group of often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Reinsurance Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Reinsurance Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.5 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Reinsurance Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Reinsurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Reinsurance Group. Anticipated expansion of Reinsurance directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Reinsurance Group assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.635 | Dividend Share 3.6 | Earnings Share 12.98 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.098 |
Investors evaluate Reinsurance Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Reinsurance Group's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Reinsurance Group's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Reinsurance Group's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Reinsurance Group should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Reinsurance Group's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.