RCI Hospitality Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| RICK Stock | USD 25.04 0.12 0.48% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of RCI Hospitality Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 24.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.87. RCI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although RCI Hospitality's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of RCI Hospitality's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of RCI Hospitality fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of RCI Hospitality's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.5 | Wall Street Target Price 98 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Using RCI Hospitality hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RCI Hospitality Holdings from the perspective of RCI Hospitality response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards RCI Hospitality using RCI Hospitality's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards RCI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of RCI Hospitality's stock price.
RCI Hospitality Short Interest
An investor who is long RCI Hospitality may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about RCI Hospitality and may potentially protect profits, hedge RCI Hospitality with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 33.1387 | Short Percent 0.1319 | Short Ratio 7.18 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 24.5812 |
RCI Hospitality Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to RCI Hospitality's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in RCI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding RCI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around RCI Hospitality Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
RCI Hospitality Implied Volatility | 0.88 |
RCI Hospitality's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of RCI Hospitality Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if RCI Hospitality's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that RCI Hospitality stock will not fluctuate a lot when RCI Hospitality's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of RCI Hospitality Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 24.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.87. RCI Hospitality after-hype prediction price | USD 25.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RCI Hospitality to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current RCI contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that RCI Hospitality Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.055% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With RCI Hospitality trading at USD 25.04, that is roughly USD 0.0138 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating RCI Hospitality's daily price movement you should consider acquiring RCI Hospitality Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.88%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 RCI Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast RCI Hospitality's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in RCI Hospitality's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for RCI Hospitality stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current RCI Hospitality's open interest, investors have to compare it to RCI Hospitality's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of RCI Hospitality is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in RCI. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
RCI Hospitality Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine RCI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RCI using various technical indicators. When you analyze RCI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
RCI Hospitality Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of RCI Hospitality Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 24.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97, mean absolute percentage error of 1.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.87.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RCI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RCI Hospitality's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
RCI Hospitality Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest RCI Hospitality | RCI Hospitality Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
RCI Hospitality Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting RCI Hospitality's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RCI Hospitality's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.61 and 28.24, respectively. We have considered RCI Hospitality's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RCI Hospitality stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RCI Hospitality stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5667 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9651 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0389 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 58.8718 |
Predictive Modules for RCI Hospitality
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RCI Hospitality Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of RCI Hospitality's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
RCI Hospitality After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of RCI Hospitality at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RCI Hospitality or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RCI Hospitality, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
RCI Hospitality Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting RCI Hospitality's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RCI Hospitality's historical news coverage. RCI Hospitality's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.75 and 28.37, respectively. We have considered RCI Hospitality's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
RCI Hospitality is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RCI Hospitality Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
RCI Hospitality Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RCI Hospitality is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RCI Hospitality backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RCI Hospitality, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 3.31 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.04 | 25.06 | 0.08 |
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RCI Hospitality Hype Timeline
RCI Hospitality Holdings is at this time traded for 25.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. RCI is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 25.06 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on RCI Hospitality is about 1880.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.04. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 295.6 M. Net Income was 3.02 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 239.44 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RCI Hospitality to cross-verify your projections.RCI Hospitality Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to RCI Hospitality's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RCI Hospitality's future price movements. Getting to know how RCI Hospitality's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RCI Hospitality may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DENN | Dennys Corp | (0.01) | 9 per month | 1.78 | 0.06 | 2.24 | (4.27) | 51.18 | |
| TWNP | Twin Hospitality Group | (0.14) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 8.96 | (13.69) | 48.40 | |
| RCKY | Rocky Brands | (0.39) | 8 per month | 1.10 | 0.13 | 3.51 | (2.65) | 9.05 | |
| GHG | GreenTree Hospitality Group | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.47 | (2.87) | 9.17 | |
| VIOT | Viomi Technology ADR | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 6.48 | (6.71) | 31.89 | |
| LOVE | The Lovesac | 0.48 | 10 per month | 3.07 | 0.01 | 6.06 | (6.01) | 20.21 | |
| INSE | Inspired Entertainment | 0.11 | 9 per month | 2.65 | 0.07 | 3.97 | (4.58) | 18.56 | |
| CRMT | Americas Car Mart | 0.75 | 9 per month | 3.49 | 0.03 | 8.00 | (5.55) | 18.39 | |
| SEV | Aptera Motors Corp | 0.17 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 11.30 | (14.25) | 76.19 | |
| FLXS | Flexsteel Industries | 0.82 | 8 per month | 2.23 | 0.03 | 5.22 | (3.18) | 12.69 |
Other Forecasting Options for RCI Hospitality
For every potential investor in RCI, whether a beginner or expert, RCI Hospitality's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RCI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RCI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RCI Hospitality's price trends.RCI Hospitality Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RCI Hospitality stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RCI Hospitality could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RCI Hospitality by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
RCI Hospitality Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RCI Hospitality stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RCI Hospitality shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RCI Hospitality stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RCI Hospitality Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 25.04 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 25.04 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.12) |
RCI Hospitality Risk Indicators
The analysis of RCI Hospitality's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RCI Hospitality's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rci stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.25 | |||
| Variance | 10.57 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for RCI Hospitality
The number of cover stories for RCI Hospitality depends on current market conditions and RCI Hospitality's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RCI Hospitality is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RCI Hospitality's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
RCI Hospitality Short Properties
RCI Hospitality's future price predictability will typically decrease when RCI Hospitality's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RCI Hospitality Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RCI Hospitality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RCI Hospitality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RCI Hospitality to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RCI Hospitality. If investors know RCI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about RCI Hospitality listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.5 | Dividend Share 0.28 | Earnings Share 1.87 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of RCI Hospitality Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RCI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of RCI Hospitality's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is RCI Hospitality's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because RCI Hospitality's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect RCI Hospitality's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between RCI Hospitality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RCI Hospitality is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RCI Hospitality's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.