Rio Tinto Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| RIO Stock | USD 96.37 3.85 4.16% |
Rio Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Rio Tinto's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Rio Tinto's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Rio Tinto fundamentals over time.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Rio Tinto's share price is above 70 as of today indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Rio, making its price go up or down. Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.6322 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.4148 | Wall Street Target Price 87.1171 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.003 |
Using Rio Tinto hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rio Tinto ADR from the perspective of Rio Tinto response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Rio Tinto using Rio Tinto's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Rio using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Rio Tinto's stock price.
Rio Tinto Short Interest
An investor who is long Rio Tinto may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Rio Tinto and may potentially protect profits, hedge Rio Tinto with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 66.9983 | Short Percent 0.0081 | Short Ratio 3.97 | Shares Short Prior Month 15.1 M | 50 Day MA 79.8846 |
Rio Relative Strength Index
Rio Tinto ADR Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Rio Tinto's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Rio. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Rio can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Rio Tinto ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Rio Tinto's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Rio Tinto.
Rio Tinto Implied Volatility | 0.38 |
Rio Tinto's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Rio Tinto ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Rio Tinto's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Rio Tinto stock will not fluctuate a lot when Rio Tinto's options are near their expiration.
Rio Tinto after-hype prediction price | USD 96.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rio Tinto to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Rio contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Rio Tinto ADR will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Rio Tinto trading at USD 96.37, that is roughly USD 0.0229 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Rio Tinto's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Rio Tinto ADR options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Rio Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Rio Tinto's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Rio Tinto's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Rio Tinto stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Rio Tinto's open interest, investors have to compare it to Rio Tinto's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Rio Tinto is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Rio. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Rio Tinto Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rio price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rio using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rio charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 65181.35 | 81449.12 |
| Check Rio Tinto Volatility | Backtest Rio Tinto | Information Ratio |
Rio Tinto Trading Date Momentum
| On February 03 2026 Rio Tinto ADR was traded for 96.37 at the closing time. Highest Rio Tinto's price during the trading hours was 96.50 and the lowest price during the day was 94.55 . The net volume was 4 M. The overall trading history on the 3rd of February did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 1.42% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Rio Tinto to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Rio Tinto
For every potential investor in Rio, whether a beginner or expert, Rio Tinto's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rio Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rio. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rio Tinto's price trends.Rio Tinto Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rio Tinto stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rio Tinto could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rio Tinto by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rio Tinto Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rio Tinto stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rio Tinto shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rio Tinto stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rio Tinto ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 81449.12 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.974359 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 95.53 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 95.81 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.77 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 3.85 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 71.14 |
Rio Tinto Risk Indicators
The analysis of Rio Tinto's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rio Tinto's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rio stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Variance | 2.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.41) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Rio Tinto
The number of cover stories for Rio Tinto depends on current market conditions and Rio Tinto's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rio Tinto is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rio Tinto's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Rio Tinto Short Properties
Rio Tinto's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rio Tinto's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rio Tinto ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rio Tinto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rio Tinto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rio Tinto to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Will Diversified Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Rio diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rio Tinto. Anticipated expansion of Rio directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Rio Tinto data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Dividend Share 3.73 | Earnings Share 6.28 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.003 |
Rio Tinto ADR's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Rio's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Rio Tinto's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Rio Tinto's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Rio Tinto's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Rio Tinto should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Rio Tinto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.