Raymond James Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| RJF Stock | USD 167.61 0.70 0.42% |
Raymond Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Raymond James' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, The relative strength indicator of Raymond James' share price is at 52 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Raymond James, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.035 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.8695 | EPS Estimate Current Year 12.0463 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.6868 | Wall Street Target Price 184.4167 |
Using Raymond James hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Raymond James Financial from the perspective of Raymond James response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Raymond James using Raymond James' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Raymond using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Raymond James' stock price.
Raymond James Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Raymond James' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Raymond. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Raymond James stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 159.0269 | Short Percent 0.0443 | Short Ratio 6.07 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.4 M | 50 Day MA 163.4206 |
Raymond Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Raymond James Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 167.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 118.66.Raymond James Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Raymond James' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Raymond. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Raymond can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Raymond James Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Raymond James' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Raymond James.
Raymond James Implied Volatility | 0.29 |
Raymond James' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Raymond James Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Raymond James' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Raymond James stock will not fluctuate a lot when Raymond James' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Raymond James Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 167.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 118.66. Raymond James after-hype prediction price | USD 167.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Raymond James to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Raymond contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Raymond James Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0181% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Raymond James trading at USD 167.61, that is roughly USD 0.0304 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Raymond James' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Raymond James Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.29%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Raymond Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Raymond James' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Raymond James' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Raymond James stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Raymond James' open interest, investors have to compare it to Raymond James' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Raymond James is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Raymond. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Raymond James Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Raymond price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Raymond using various technical indicators. When you analyze Raymond charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Raymond James Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Raymond James Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 167.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.98, mean absolute percentage error of 5.81, and the sum of the absolute errors of 118.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Raymond Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Raymond James' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Raymond James Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Raymond James | Raymond James Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Raymond James Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Raymond James' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Raymond James' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 166.20 and 169.02, respectively. We have considered Raymond James' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Raymond James stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Raymond James stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.032 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2332 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.9776 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0122 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 118.655 |
Predictive Modules for Raymond James
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Raymond James Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Raymond James After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Raymond James at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Raymond James or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Raymond James, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Raymond James Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Raymond James' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Raymond James' historical news coverage. Raymond James' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 166.21 and 169.01, respectively. We have considered Raymond James' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Raymond James is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Raymond James Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Raymond James Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Raymond James is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Raymond James backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Raymond James, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.41 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 4 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
167.61 | 167.61 | 0.00 |
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Raymond James Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Raymond James Financial is traded for 167.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Raymond is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 146.87%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Raymond James is about 206.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 167.68. About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Raymond James was at this time reported as 62.7. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.25. Raymond James Financial recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.22. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of January 2026. The firm had 3:2 split on the 22nd of September 2021. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Raymond James to cross-verify your projections.Raymond James Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Raymond James' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Raymond James' future price movements. Getting to know how Raymond James' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Raymond James may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MS | Morgan Stanley | 10.23 | 9 per month | 1.21 | 0.08 | 2.55 | (2.21) | 9.48 | |
| SCHW | Charles Schwab Corp | (1.49) | 6 per month | 1.11 | 0.07 | 2.09 | (2.32) | 5.35 | |
| LPLA | LPL Financial Holdings | 1.61 | 2 per month | 1.80 | 0.03 | 2.35 | (3.33) | 16.03 | |
| WTW | Willis Towers Watson | 1.51 | 31 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.33 | (1.98) | 5.74 | |
| FUTU | Futu Holdings | (2.86) | 11 per month | 3.02 | (0.01) | 5.26 | (5.58) | 14.13 | |
| STT | State Street Corp | (1.55) | 7 per month | 1.70 | 0.10 | 1.85 | (2.12) | 9.12 | |
| NWG | Natwest Group PLC | 1.57 | 10 per month | 1.27 | 0.15 | 2.49 | (2.19) | 8.21 | |
| SLF | Sun Life Financial | (0.73) | 11 per month | 1.15 | 0.02 | 1.51 | (1.76) | 5.63 | |
| ACGL | Arch Capital Group | (2.14) | 11 per month | 0.84 | 0.09 | 1.82 | (1.42) | 4.71 |
Other Forecasting Options for Raymond James
For every potential investor in Raymond, whether a beginner or expert, Raymond James' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Raymond Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Raymond. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Raymond James' price trends.Raymond James Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Raymond James stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Raymond James could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Raymond James by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Raymond James Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Raymond James stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Raymond James shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Raymond James stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Raymond James Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 98278.8 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.09) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 169.52 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 168.88 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.25) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.70) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 52.72 |
Raymond James Risk Indicators
The analysis of Raymond James' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Raymond James' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting raymond stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Variance | 1.85 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.76 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Raymond James
The number of cover stories for Raymond James depends on current market conditions and Raymond James' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Raymond James is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Raymond James' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Raymond James Short Properties
Raymond James' future price predictability will typically decrease when Raymond James' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Raymond James Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Raymond James' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Raymond James' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 206.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.3 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Raymond James to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Can Investment Banking & Brokerage industry sustain growth momentum? Does Raymond have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Raymond James. Anticipated expansion of Raymond directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Raymond James demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.035 | Earnings Share 10.22 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.07 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Raymond James Financial requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Raymond's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Raymond James' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Raymond James' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Raymond James' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Raymond James should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Raymond James' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.