Raymond James Financial Stock Price Prediction
| RJF Stock | USD 170.16 0.47 0.28% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.417 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.48 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.7381 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.751 | Wall Street Target Price 167.2857 |
Using Raymond James hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Raymond James Financial from the perspective of Raymond James response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Raymond James using Raymond James' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Raymond using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Raymond James' stock price.
Raymond James Implied Volatility | 0.28 |
Raymond James' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Raymond James Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Raymond James' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Raymond James stock will not fluctuate a lot when Raymond James' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Raymond James to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Raymond because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Raymond James after-hype prediction price | USD 169.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Raymond contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Raymond James Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0175% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Raymond James trading at USD 170.16, that is roughly USD 0.0298 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Raymond James' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Raymond James Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.28%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Raymond |
Raymond James After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Raymond James at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Raymond James or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Raymond James, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Raymond James Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Raymond James' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Raymond James' historical news coverage. Raymond James' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 167.60 and 171.36, respectively. We have considered Raymond James' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Raymond James is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Raymond James Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Raymond James Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Raymond James is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Raymond James backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Raymond James, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.88 | 0.21 | 0.09 | 12 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
170.16 | 169.48 | 0.12 |
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Raymond James Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of January Raymond James Financial is traded for 170.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Raymond is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 169.48. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Raymond James is about 557.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 170.25. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Raymond James was at this time reported as 54.08. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.01. Raymond James Financial recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.7. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of January 2025. The firm had 3:2 split on the 22nd of September 2021. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Raymond James Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Raymond James Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Raymond James' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Raymond James' future price movements. Getting to know how Raymond James' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Raymond James may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TW | Tradeweb Markets | (3.42) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.84 | (2.17) | 6.85 | |
| PJT | PJT Partners | 4.93 | 12 per month | 1.55 | 0.07 | 3.41 | (2.78) | 20.73 | |
| MC | Moelis Co | 3.15 | 8 per month | 1.84 | 0.06 | 3.37 | (3.05) | 22.95 | |
| LPLA | LPL Financial Holdings | (0.38) | 8 per month | 0.47 | 0.24 | 2.41 | (1.49) | 13.96 | |
| HLI | Houlihan Lokey | 1.19 | 13 per month | 1.31 | 0.06 | 2.43 | (2.23) | 13.87 | |
| SF | Stifel Financial | 1.46 | 6 per month | 1.29 | 0.1 | 2.35 | (2.45) | 18.39 | |
| EVR | Evercore Partners | (1.23) | 8 per month | 2.09 | 0.03 | 2.73 | (3.03) | 22.35 | |
| OPY | Oppenheimer Holdings | 0.74 | 8 per month | 0.91 | 0.26 | 4.94 | (2.06) | 14.42 | |
| MKTX | MarketAxess Holdings | (1.43) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 1.46 | (1.93) | 7.65 | |
| LAZ | Lazard | (0.24) | 10 per month | 1.91 | 0.01 | 4.40 | (3.63) | 20.15 | |
| PIPR | Piper Sandler Companies | (1.06) | 11 per month | 1.78 | 0.02 | 3.13 | (3.09) | 24.59 |
Raymond James Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Raymond price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Raymond using various technical indicators. When you analyze Raymond charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Raymond James Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Raymond James stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Raymond James Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Raymond James based on analysis of Raymond James hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Raymond James's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Raymond James's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0167 | 0.0151 | 0.0136 | 0.011 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.85 | 1.7 | 1.53 | 0.98 |
Story Coverage note for Raymond James
The number of cover stories for Raymond James depends on current market conditions and Raymond James' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Raymond James is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Raymond James' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Raymond James Short Properties
Raymond James' future price predictability will typically decrease when Raymond James' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Raymond James Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Raymond James' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Raymond James' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 212.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.3 B |
Complementary Tools for Raymond Stock analysis
When running Raymond James' price analysis, check to measure Raymond James' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Raymond James is operating at the current time. Most of Raymond James' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Raymond James' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Raymond James' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Raymond James to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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