Richmond Mutual Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

RMBI Stock  USD 13.90  0.32  2.36%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Richmond Mutual Bancorporation on the next trading day is expected to be 13.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.18. Richmond Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Richmond Mutual's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The Richmond Mutual's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.04, while Receivables Turnover is projected to decrease to 0.23. . The Richmond Mutual's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 15.7 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to under 9.6 M.
A two period moving average forecast for Richmond Mutual is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Richmond Mutual Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Richmond Mutual Bancorporation on the next trading day is expected to be 13.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Richmond Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Richmond Mutual's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Richmond Mutual Stock Forecast Pattern

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Richmond Mutual Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Richmond Mutual's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Richmond Mutual's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.89 and 14.91, respectively. We have considered Richmond Mutual's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.90
13.90
Expected Value
14.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Richmond Mutual stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Richmond Mutual stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.6076
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0356
MADMean absolute deviation0.1047
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.008
SAESum of the absolute errors6.18
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Richmond Mutual Bancorporation price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Richmond Mutual. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Richmond Mutual

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Richmond Mutual Banc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8913.9014.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4913.5014.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.4913.7914.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Richmond Mutual. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Richmond Mutual's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Richmond Mutual's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Richmond Mutual Banc.

Other Forecasting Options for Richmond Mutual

For every potential investor in Richmond, whether a beginner or expert, Richmond Mutual's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Richmond Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Richmond. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Richmond Mutual's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Richmond Mutual Banc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Richmond Mutual's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Richmond Mutual's current price.

Richmond Mutual Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Richmond Mutual stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Richmond Mutual shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Richmond Mutual stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Richmond Mutual Bancorporation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Richmond Mutual Risk Indicators

The analysis of Richmond Mutual's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Richmond Mutual's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting richmond stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Richmond Mutual Banc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Richmond Mutual's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Richmond Mutual Bancorporation Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Richmond Mutual Bancorporation Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Richmond Mutual to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Richmond Mutual. If investors know Richmond will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Richmond Mutual listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.276
Dividend Share
0.56
Earnings Share
0.87
Revenue Per Share
4.169
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.061
The market value of Richmond Mutual Banc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Richmond that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Richmond Mutual's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Richmond Mutual's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Richmond Mutual's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Richmond Mutual's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Richmond Mutual's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Richmond Mutual is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Richmond Mutual's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.