Richmond Mutual Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| RMBI Stock | USD 14.48 0.13 0.91% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Richmond Mutual Bancorporation on the next trading day is expected to be 14.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.69. Richmond Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Richmond Mutual's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Richmond |
Richmond Mutual Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Richmond Mutual's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2018-12-31 | Previous Quarter 19 M | Current Value 19.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 41.4 M |
Richmond Mutual Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Richmond Mutual Bancorporation on the next trading day is expected to be 14.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.69.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Richmond Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Richmond Mutual's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Richmond Mutual Stock Forecast Pattern
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Richmond Mutual Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Richmond Mutual's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Richmond Mutual's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.65 and 15.76, respectively. We have considered Richmond Mutual's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Richmond Mutual stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Richmond Mutual stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.9683 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0933 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0071 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.6885 |
Predictive Modules for Richmond Mutual
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Richmond Mutual Banc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Richmond Mutual
For every potential investor in Richmond, whether a beginner or expert, Richmond Mutual's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Richmond Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Richmond. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Richmond Mutual's price trends.View Richmond Mutual Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Richmond Mutual Banc Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Richmond Mutual's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Richmond Mutual's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Richmond Mutual Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Richmond Mutual stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Richmond Mutual shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Richmond Mutual stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Richmond Mutual Bancorporation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Richmond Mutual Risk Indicators
The analysis of Richmond Mutual's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Richmond Mutual's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting richmond stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7083 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6291 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Variance | 1.09 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3958 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.90) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Richmond Mutual Banc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Richmond Mutual's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Richmond Mutual Bancorporation Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Richmond Mutual Bancorporation Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Richmond Mutual to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Richmond Mutual. If investors know Richmond will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Richmond Mutual listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.276 | Dividend Share 0.56 | Earnings Share 0.87 | Revenue Per Share 4.169 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.061 |
The market value of Richmond Mutual Banc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Richmond that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Richmond Mutual's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Richmond Mutual's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Richmond Mutual's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Richmond Mutual's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Richmond Mutual's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Richmond Mutual is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Richmond Mutual's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.