Rapid7 Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

RPD Stock  USD 14.27  0.93  6.12%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Rapid7 Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 14.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.21. Rapid7 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Rapid7 stock prices and determine the direction of Rapid7 Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rapid7's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength indicator of Rapid7's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Rapid7's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Rapid7 and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Rapid7's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Rapid7 Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Rapid7's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.29)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.4453
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.0534
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.9983
Wall Street Target Price
20.1386
Using Rapid7 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rapid7 Inc from the perspective of Rapid7 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Rapid7 using Rapid7's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Rapid7 using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Rapid7's stock price.

Rapid7 Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Rapid7's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Rapid7. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Rapid7 stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
20.7325
Short Percent
0.0745
Short Ratio
3.76
Shares Short Prior Month
4.1 M
50 Day MA
15.7854

Rapid7 Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Rapid7's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Rapid7. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Rapid7 can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Rapid7 Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Rapid7's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Rapid7.

Rapid7 Implied Volatility

    
  0.6  
Rapid7's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Rapid7 Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Rapid7's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Rapid7 stock will not fluctuate a lot when Rapid7's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Rapid7 Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 14.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.21.

Rapid7 after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.74  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rapid7 to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Rapid7's Asset Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. . As of January 4, 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 46.6 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is expected to decline to about (117.9 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Rapid7 Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Rapid7's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Rapid7's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Rapid7 stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Rapid7's open interest, investors have to compare it to Rapid7's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Rapid7 is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Rapid7. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Rapid7 Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Rapid7 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rapid7 using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rapid7 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Rapid7 is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Rapid7 Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Rapid7 Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 14.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.21.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rapid7 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rapid7's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rapid7 Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Rapid7Rapid7 Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Rapid7 Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rapid7's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rapid7's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.81 and 17.73, respectively. We have considered Rapid7's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.27
14.27
Expected Value
17.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rapid7 stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rapid7 stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.6914
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1214
MADMean absolute deviation0.3933
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0251
SAESum of the absolute errors23.205
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Rapid7 Inc price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Rapid7. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Rapid7

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rapid7 Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2813.7417.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.2117.6721.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.0215.4516.88
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.3320.1422.35
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Rapid7

For every potential investor in Rapid7, whether a beginner or expert, Rapid7's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rapid7 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rapid7. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rapid7's price trends.

Rapid7 Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rapid7 stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rapid7 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rapid7 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rapid7 Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Rapid7's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Rapid7's current price.

Rapid7 Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rapid7 stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rapid7 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rapid7 stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rapid7 Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Rapid7 Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rapid7's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rapid7's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rapid7 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Rapid7 Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Rapid7's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Rapid7's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Rapid7 Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rapid7 to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rapid7. If investors know Rapid7 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rapid7 listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.29)
Earnings Share
0.35
Revenue Per Share
13.392
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.015
Return On Assets
0.0069
The market value of Rapid7 Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rapid7 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rapid7's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rapid7's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rapid7's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rapid7's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rapid7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rapid7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rapid7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.