Richtech Robotics Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RR Stock | 3.58 0.44 10.95% |
Richtech Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Richtech Robotics' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Richtech Robotics' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Richtech Robotics fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Richtech Robotics' share price is approaching 46 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Richtech Robotics, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.08) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.05) | Wall Street Target Price 4.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.75 |
Using Richtech Robotics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Richtech Robotics Class from the perspective of Richtech Robotics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Richtech Robotics using Richtech Robotics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Richtech using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Richtech Robotics' stock price.
Richtech Robotics Short Interest
An investor who is long Richtech Robotics may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Richtech Robotics and may potentially protect profits, hedge Richtech Robotics with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 3.1951 | Short Percent 0.2065 | Short Ratio 1.33 | Shares Short Prior Month 31 M | 50 Day MA 3.7653 |
Richtech Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Richtech Robotics Class on the next trading day is expected to be 3.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.96.Richtech Robotics Class Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Richtech Robotics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Richtech. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Richtech can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Richtech Robotics Class. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Richtech Robotics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Richtech Robotics.
Richtech Robotics Implied Volatility | 1.47 |
Richtech Robotics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Richtech Robotics Class stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Richtech Robotics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Richtech Robotics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Richtech Robotics' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Richtech Robotics Class on the next trading day is expected to be 3.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.96. Richtech Robotics after-hype prediction price | USD 4.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Richtech Robotics to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Richtech contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Richtech Robotics Class will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0919% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Richtech Robotics trading at USD 3.58, that is roughly USD 0.003289 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Richtech Robotics' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Richtech Robotics Class options at the current volatility level of 1.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Richtech Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Richtech Robotics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Richtech Robotics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Richtech Robotics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Richtech Robotics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Richtech Robotics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Richtech Robotics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Richtech. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Richtech Robotics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Richtech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Richtech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Richtech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Richtech Robotics Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Richtech Robotics Class on the next trading day is expected to be 3.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Richtech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Richtech Robotics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Richtech Robotics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Richtech Robotics | Richtech Robotics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Richtech Robotics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Richtech Robotics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Richtech Robotics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 12.88, respectively. We have considered Richtech Robotics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Richtech Robotics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Richtech Robotics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.0909 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0141 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2452 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0623 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.96 |
Predictive Modules for Richtech Robotics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Richtech Robotics Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Richtech Robotics After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Richtech Robotics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Richtech Robotics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Richtech Robotics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Richtech Robotics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Richtech Robotics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Richtech Robotics' historical news coverage. Richtech Robotics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.20 and 13.21, respectively. We have considered Richtech Robotics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Richtech Robotics is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Richtech Robotics Class is based on 3 months time horizon.
Richtech Robotics Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Richtech Robotics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Richtech Robotics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Richtech Robotics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 9.30 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.58 | 4.02 | 0.00 |
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Richtech Robotics Hype Timeline
As of January 31, 2026 Richtech Robotics Class is listed for 3.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Richtech is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Richtech Robotics is about 2043.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.60. About 20.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Richtech Robotics was at this time reported as 1.39. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.13. Richtech Robotics Class had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Richtech Robotics to cross-verify your projections.Richtech Robotics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Richtech Robotics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Richtech Robotics' future price movements. Getting to know how Richtech Robotics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Richtech Robotics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KRNT | Kornit Digital | 0.69 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.04 | (4.50) | 13.28 | |
| GHM | Graham | 1.62 | 6 per month | 3.32 | 0.06 | 5.13 | (5.02) | 14.76 | |
| SERV | Serve Robotics Common | 1.38 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.62 | (9.56) | 28.21 | |
| RYI | Ryerson Holding Corp | (0.19) | 9 per month | 2.39 | 0.08 | 4.22 | (4.57) | 11.34 | |
| VSTS | Vestis | 0.18 | 7 per month | 3.44 | 0.09 | 6.21 | (6.37) | 18.68 | |
| LTBR | Lightbridge Corp | (0.09) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 9.65 | (10.14) | 32.08 | |
| EH | Ehang Holdings | 0.63 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.79 | (5.09) | 17.58 | |
| TRNS | Transcat | 0.35 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.41 | (3.69) | 12.75 | |
| FIP | FTAI Infrastructure | (0.12) | 11 per month | 3.69 | 0.03 | 7.16 | (6.73) | 18.25 | |
| HY | Hyster Yale Materials Handling | 0.10 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.10 | (4.77) | 20.43 |
Other Forecasting Options for Richtech Robotics
For every potential investor in Richtech, whether a beginner or expert, Richtech Robotics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Richtech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Richtech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Richtech Robotics' price trends.Richtech Robotics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Richtech Robotics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Richtech Robotics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Richtech Robotics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Richtech Robotics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Richtech Robotics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Richtech Robotics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Richtech Robotics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Richtech Robotics Class entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Richtech Robotics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Richtech Robotics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Richtech Robotics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting richtech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.12 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.01 | |||
| Variance | 81.18 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Richtech Robotics
The number of cover stories for Richtech Robotics depends on current market conditions and Richtech Robotics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Richtech Robotics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Richtech Robotics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Richtech Robotics Short Properties
Richtech Robotics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Richtech Robotics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Richtech Robotics Class often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Richtech Robotics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Richtech Robotics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 122 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 193.6 M |
Additional Tools for Richtech Stock Analysis
When running Richtech Robotics' price analysis, check to measure Richtech Robotics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Richtech Robotics is operating at the current time. Most of Richtech Robotics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Richtech Robotics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Richtech Robotics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Richtech Robotics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.