Roadrunner Transportation Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| RRTS Stock | USD 2.41 0.05 2.12% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Roadrunner Transportation Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 2.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.31. Roadrunner Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Roadrunner Transportation's share price is below 20 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Roadrunner Transportation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Roadrunner Transportation Systems from the perspective of Roadrunner Transportation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Roadrunner Transportation Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 2.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.31. Roadrunner Transportation after-hype prediction price | USD 2.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Roadrunner |
Roadrunner Transportation Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Roadrunner price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Roadrunner using various technical indicators. When you analyze Roadrunner charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Roadrunner Transportation Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Roadrunner Transportation Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 2.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Roadrunner Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Roadrunner Transportation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Roadrunner Transportation Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Roadrunner Transportation | Roadrunner Transportation Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Roadrunner Transportation Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Roadrunner Transportation's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Roadrunner Transportation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.24, respectively. We have considered Roadrunner Transportation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Roadrunner Transportation pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Roadrunner Transportation pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.4215 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0706 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0301 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.3066 |
Predictive Modules for Roadrunner Transportation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roadrunner Transportation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Roadrunner Transportation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Roadrunner Transportation
For every potential investor in Roadrunner, whether a beginner or expert, Roadrunner Transportation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Roadrunner Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Roadrunner. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Roadrunner Transportation's price trends.Roadrunner Transportation Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Roadrunner Transportation pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Roadrunner Transportation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Roadrunner Transportation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Roadrunner Transportation Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Roadrunner Transportation's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Roadrunner Transportation's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Roadrunner Transportation Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Roadrunner Transportation pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Roadrunner Transportation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Roadrunner Transportation pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Roadrunner Transportation Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Roadrunner Transportation Risk Indicators
The analysis of Roadrunner Transportation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Roadrunner Transportation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting roadrunner pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.89 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.72 | |||
| Variance | 22.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 25.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.75) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Thematic Opportunities
Explore Investment Opportunities
Additional Tools for Roadrunner Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Roadrunner Transportation's price analysis, check to measure Roadrunner Transportation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Roadrunner Transportation is operating at the current time. Most of Roadrunner Transportation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Roadrunner Transportation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Roadrunner Transportation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Roadrunner Transportation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.