Safe Bulkers Preferred Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| SB-PC Preferred Stock | USD 25.70 0.17 0.67% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Safe Bulkers on the next trading day is expected to be 25.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.55. Safe Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Safe Bulkers stock prices and determine the direction of Safe Bulkers's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Safe Bulkers' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Safe Bulkers' preferred stock price is about 66. This usually implies that the preferred stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Safe, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Safe Bulkers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Safe Bulkers from the perspective of Safe Bulkers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Safe Bulkers on the next trading day is expected to be 25.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.55. Safe Bulkers after-hype prediction price | USD 25.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Safe |
Safe Bulkers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Safe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Safe using various technical indicators. When you analyze Safe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Safe Bulkers Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Safe Bulkers on the next trading day is expected to be 25.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.55.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Safe Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Safe Bulkers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Safe Bulkers Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Safe Bulkers | Safe Bulkers Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Safe Bulkers Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Safe Bulkers' Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Safe Bulkers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.39 and 26.01, respectively. We have considered Safe Bulkers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Safe Bulkers preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Safe Bulkers preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.618 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0076 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0602 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0024 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.55 |
Predictive Modules for Safe Bulkers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Safe Bulkers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Safe Bulkers After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Safe Bulkers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Safe Bulkers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Safe Bulkers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Safe Bulkers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Safe Bulkers' preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Safe Bulkers' historical news coverage. Safe Bulkers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.40 and 26.00, respectively. We have considered Safe Bulkers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Safe Bulkers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Safe Bulkers is based on 3 months time horizon.
Safe Bulkers Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Safe Bulkers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Safe Bulkers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Safe Bulkers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.70 | 25.70 | 0.00 |
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Safe Bulkers Hype Timeline
Safe Bulkers is at this time traded for 25.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Safe is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Safe Bulkers is about 38.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.72. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 141.23. Safe Bulkers last dividend was issued on the 19th of January 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Safe Bulkers to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Safe Preferred Stock refer to our How to Trade Safe Preferred Stock guide.Safe Bulkers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Safe Bulkers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Safe Bulkers' future price movements. Getting to know how Safe Bulkers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Safe Bulkers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SBLK | Star Bulk Carriers | (5.51) | 6 per month | 1.77 | 0.12 | 3.15 | (2.54) | 9.64 | |
| RHI | Robert Half International | (0.36) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.27 | (3.95) | 11.16 | |
| MGRC | McGrath RentCorp | (0.21) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.75 | (1.84) | 7.75 | |
| HAFN | Hafnia Limited | (0.01) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.17 | (2.90) | 9.79 | |
| MATX | Matson Inc | 6.22 | 28 per month | 0.62 | 0.27 | 5.13 | (2.04) | 15.21 | |
| BWLP | BW LPG Limited | 6.22 | 2 per month | 1.70 | 0.07 | 3.89 | (2.78) | 8.94 | |
| ABM | ABM Industries Incorporated | (0.21) | 10 per month | 2.57 | (0.01) | 2.57 | (3.92) | 15.37 | |
| REVG | Rev Group | 2.52 | 3 per month | 2.36 | 0.09 | 3.48 | (3.10) | 14.08 | |
| TRTN-PC | Triton International Limited | (0.27) | 11 per month | 0.38 | (0.13) | 0.68 | (0.64) | 2.46 | |
| ZIM | ZIM Integrated Shipping | (0.26) | 10 per month | 2.42 | 0.21 | 6.15 | (5.40) | 20.91 |
Other Forecasting Options for Safe Bulkers
For every potential investor in Safe, whether a beginner or expert, Safe Bulkers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Safe Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Safe. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Safe Bulkers' price trends.Safe Bulkers Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Safe Bulkers preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Safe Bulkers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Safe Bulkers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Safe Bulkers Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Safe Bulkers preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Safe Bulkers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Safe Bulkers preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Safe Bulkers entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 25.7 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 25.7 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.085 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.17 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 66.95 |
Safe Bulkers Risk Indicators
The analysis of Safe Bulkers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Safe Bulkers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting safe preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1893 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1573 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.3004 | |||
| Variance | 0.0902 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.2472 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0247 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Safe Bulkers
The number of cover stories for Safe Bulkers depends on current market conditions and Safe Bulkers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Safe Bulkers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Safe Bulkers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Safe Bulkers Short Properties
Safe Bulkers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Safe Bulkers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Safe Bulkers often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Safe Bulkers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Safe Bulkers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 102.1 M |
Other Information on Investing in Safe Preferred Stock
Safe Bulkers financial ratios help investors to determine whether Safe Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Safe with respect to the benefits of owning Safe Bulkers security.