Sibanye Gold Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

SBSW Stock  USD 17.56  0.78  4.65%   
Sibanye Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Sibanye Gold's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sibanye Gold's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sibanye Gold and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sibanye Gold's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sibanye Gold Ltd, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sibanye Gold's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.38)
EPS Estimate Current Year
15.339
EPS Estimate Next Year
44.899
Wall Street Target Price
19.3539
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Using Sibanye Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sibanye Gold Ltd from the perspective of Sibanye Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sibanye Gold using Sibanye Gold's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sibanye using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sibanye Gold's stock price.

Sibanye Gold Short Interest

An investor who is long Sibanye Gold may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sibanye Gold and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sibanye Gold with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
10.2579
Short Percent
0.0244
Short Ratio
1.67
Shares Short Prior Month
17.8 M
50 Day MA
15.5026

Sibanye Relative Strength Index

Sibanye Gold Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Sibanye Gold's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sibanye. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sibanye can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sibanye Gold Ltd. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sibanye Gold's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sibanye Gold.

Sibanye Gold Implied Volatility

    
  0.96  
Sibanye Gold's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sibanye Gold Ltd stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sibanye Gold's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sibanye Gold stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sibanye Gold's options are near their expiration.

Sibanye Gold after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.75  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sibanye Gold to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sibanye contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sibanye Gold Ltd will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.06% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Sibanye Gold trading at USD 17.56, that is roughly USD 0.0105 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sibanye Gold's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sibanye Gold Ltd options at the current volatility level of 0.96%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Sibanye Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sibanye Gold's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sibanye Gold's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sibanye Gold stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sibanye Gold's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sibanye Gold's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sibanye Gold is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sibanye. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Sibanye Gold Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sibanye price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sibanye using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sibanye charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Sibanye Gold Ltd has current Accumulation Distribution of 149822.0. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Sibanye Gold is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Sibanye Gold Ltd to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Sibanye Gold trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Sibanye Gold VolatilityBacktest Sibanye GoldInformation Ratio  

Sibanye Gold Trading Date Momentum

On February 11 2026 Sibanye Gold Ltd was traded for  17.56  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 17.60  and the lowest listed price was  16.95 . The trading volume for the day was 4.1 M. The trading history from February 11, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 0.17% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Sibanye Gold to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Sibanye Gold

For every potential investor in Sibanye, whether a beginner or expert, Sibanye Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sibanye Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sibanye. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sibanye Gold's price trends.

Sibanye Gold Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sibanye Gold stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sibanye Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sibanye Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sibanye Gold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sibanye Gold stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sibanye Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sibanye Gold stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sibanye Gold Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sibanye Gold Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sibanye Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sibanye Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sibanye stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Sibanye Gold

The number of cover stories for Sibanye Gold depends on current market conditions and Sibanye Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sibanye Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sibanye Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Sibanye Gold Short Properties

Sibanye Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sibanye Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sibanye Gold Ltd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sibanye Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sibanye Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding707.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16 B

Additional Tools for Sibanye Stock Analysis

When running Sibanye Gold's price analysis, check to measure Sibanye Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sibanye Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Sibanye Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sibanye Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sibanye Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sibanye Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.