Sibanye Gold Ltd Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SBSW Stock  USD 4.07  0.15  3.55%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Sibanye Gold Ltd is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Sibanye Gold Ltd given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Sibanye Gold. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Sibanye Gold Ltd, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Sibanye Gold Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Sibanye and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Sibanye Gold Ltd. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute Sibanye Gold Buy or Sell Advice

The Sibanye recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Sibanye Gold Ltd. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Sibanye Gold Ltd or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Sibanye Gold's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Sibanye GoldBuy Sibanye Gold
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Relatively riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Sibanye Gold Ltd has a Mean Deviation of 3.81, Semi Deviation of 4.15, Standard Deviation of 4.69, Variance of 21.96, Downside Variance of 18.4 and Semi Variance of 17.25
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Sibanye Gold. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Sibanye Gold is not overpriced, please validate all Sibanye Gold fundamentals, including its price to earning, book value per share, net asset, as well as the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Sibanye Gold has a price to earning of 2.67 X, we advise you to double-check Sibanye Gold Ltd market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Sibanye Gold Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Sibanye Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Sibanye Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 113.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (36.86 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 43.75 B.
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: C5 Capital Signs MOU with Sibanye-Stillwater to Advance Nuclear Energy in South Africa, the United States and Globally

Sibanye Gold Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Sibanye Gold's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Sibanye Gold's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Sibanye Gold daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Sibanye Gold Ltd price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Sibanye Gold returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Sibanye Gold.
Mean Return
0.09
Value At Risk
-6.36
Potential Upside
7.51
Standard Deviation
4.69
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Sibanye Gold historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Sibanye Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Sibanye Gold, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sibanye Gold Ltd back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
2.8 M
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
2.7 M
Balyasny Asset Management Llc2024-09-30
2.7 M
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-06-30
2.5 M
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2024-06-30
2.3 M
Group One Trading, Lp2024-06-30
1.8 M
Raymond James & Associates2024-09-30
1.7 M
Aqr Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
1.4 M
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
1.3 M
Exor Investments (uk) Llp2024-09-30
27.5 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
19.3 M
Note, although Sibanye Gold's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Sibanye Gold Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(5B)(9.0B)1.4B605M1.5B1.6B
Change In Cash3.1B14.6B10.1B(4.2B)(516M)(490.2M)
Free Cash Flow1.8B17.5B19.5B(356M)(15.3B)(14.6B)
Depreciation7.2B7.6B8.3B7.1B10.0B6.0B
Other Non Cash Items2.4B(1.4B)(5.1B)(6.8B)32.1B33.7B
Dividends Paid85M1.7B18.2B9.5B5.3B3.6B
Capital Expenditures7.7B9.6B12.7B15.9B22.4B23.5B
Net Income10.6B45.2B67.8B40.7B(36.9B)(35.0B)
End Period Cash Flow5.6B20.2B30.3B26.1B25.6B26.8B
Investments(4.9B)(9.9B)(2.2B)(17.4B)(22.0B)(20.9B)
Net Borrowings(3.2B)(2.2B)287M(134M)(120.6M)(114.6M)
Change To Netincome2.1B1.4B540M(874M)(786.6M)(747.3M)

Sibanye Gold Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Sibanye Gold or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Sibanye Gold's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Sibanye stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.24
σ
Overall volatility
4.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.0089

Sibanye Gold Volatility Alert

Sibanye Gold Ltd exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Sibanye Gold's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Sibanye Gold's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Sibanye Gold Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Sibanye Gold's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Sibanye Gold's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Sibanye Gold and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Sibanye Gold or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Sibanye Gold's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sibanye Gold by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Sibanye Gold to competition
FundamentalsSibanye GoldPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.52-0.31
Return On Asset-0.13-0.14
Profit Margin(0.33) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.75) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.18 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding707.64 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions14.74 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted15.02 M4.71 M
Price To Earning2.67 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.25 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.03 X11.42 X
Revenue113.68 B9.43 B
Gross Profit43.75 B27.38 B
EBITDA(27.52 B)3.9 B
Net Income(36.86 B)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents27.25 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share38.51 X5.01 X
Total Debt41.01 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.24 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.36 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.33 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations7.09 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.07 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(4.10) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.86) X4.89 X
Target Price4.92
Number Of Employees63.22 K18.84 K
Beta1.42-0.15
Market Capitalization2.92 B19.03 B
Total Asset142.94 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(8.47 B)9.33 B
Working Capital25.41 B1.48 B
Net Asset142.94 B

Sibanye Gold Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Sibanye . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Sibanye Gold Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Sibanye Gold Ltd? Buying financial instruments such as Sibanye Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Robots And Drones Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Sibanye Stock Analysis

When running Sibanye Gold's price analysis, check to measure Sibanye Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sibanye Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Sibanye Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sibanye Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sibanye Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sibanye Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.