Scholastic Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SCHL Stock | USD 35.30 0.29 0.83% |
Scholastic Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Scholastic's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Scholastic's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Scholastic fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength momentum indicator of Scholastic's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.269 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.43 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.18 | Wall Street Target Price 36 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.07 |
Using Scholastic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Scholastic from the perspective of Scholastic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Scholastic using Scholastic's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Scholastic using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Scholastic's stock price.
Scholastic Short Interest
An investor who is long Scholastic may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Scholastic and may potentially protect profits, hedge Scholastic with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 25.7713 | Short Percent 0.141 | Short Ratio 5.56 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.5 M | 50 Day MA 31.4982 |
Scholastic Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Scholastic on the next trading day is expected to be 35.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.42.Scholastic Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Scholastic's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Scholastic. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Scholastic can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Scholastic. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Scholastic's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Scholastic.
Scholastic Implied Volatility | 1.16 |
Scholastic's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Scholastic stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Scholastic's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Scholastic stock will not fluctuate a lot when Scholastic's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Scholastic on the next trading day is expected to be 35.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.42. Scholastic after-hype prediction price | USD 35.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Scholastic contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Scholastic will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0725% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Scholastic trading at USD 35.3, that is roughly USD 0.0256 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Scholastic's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Scholastic options at the current volatility level of 1.16%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Scholastic Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Scholastic's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Scholastic's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Scholastic stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Scholastic's open interest, investors have to compare it to Scholastic's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Scholastic is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Scholastic. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Scholastic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Scholastic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Scholastic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Scholastic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Scholastic Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Scholastic on the next trading day is expected to be 35.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62, mean absolute percentage error of 0.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Scholastic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Scholastic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Scholastic Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Scholastic | Scholastic Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Scholastic Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Scholastic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Scholastic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.00 and 37.31, respectively. We have considered Scholastic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Scholastic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Scholastic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.8591 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1783 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6173 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0201 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 36.42 |
Predictive Modules for Scholastic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scholastic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Scholastic After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Scholastic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Scholastic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Scholastic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Scholastic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Scholastic's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Scholastic's historical news coverage. Scholastic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.35 and 37.65, respectively. We have considered Scholastic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Scholastic is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Scholastic is based on 3 months time horizon.
Scholastic Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Scholastic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Scholastic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Scholastic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 2.15 | 0.20 | 0.13 | 12 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
35.30 | 35.50 | 0.57 |
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Scholastic Hype Timeline
Scholastic is at this time traded for 35.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Scholastic is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 35.5 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.57%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on Scholastic is about 647.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.43. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.63 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 909.4 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Scholastic to cross-verify your projections.Scholastic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Scholastic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Scholastic's future price movements. Getting to know how Scholastic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Scholastic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GCI | Gannett Co | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.98 | (2.21) | 83.34 | |
| SHEN | Shenandoah Telecommunications Co | 0.27 | 9 per month | 1.77 | 0.04 | 3.86 | (3.52) | 10.23 | |
| SMWB | SimilarWeb | (0.11) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 3.90 | (6.63) | 17.88 | |
| SIFY | Sify Technologies Limited | 0.58 | 8 per month | 4.25 | 0.09 | 8.16 | (5.79) | 23.38 | |
| HUYA | HUYA Inc | 0.06 | 10 per month | 2.13 | 0.20 | 7.07 | (4.38) | 22.34 | |
| NXDR | NXDR | (0.05) | 5 per month | 3.75 | 0 | 8.06 | (6.28) | 40.31 | |
| NN | Nextnav Acquisition Corp | 0.96 | 8 per month | 3.99 | 0.09 | 8.36 | (4.03) | 30.05 | |
| ATHM | Autohome | 0.20 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.90 | (3.43) | 7.71 | |
| ASST | Strive Asset Management | 1.43 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 16.28 | (11.94) | 35.94 | |
| RBBN | Ribbon Communications | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.78 | (6.17) | 33.28 |
Other Forecasting Options for Scholastic
For every potential investor in Scholastic, whether a beginner or expert, Scholastic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Scholastic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Scholastic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Scholastic's price trends.Scholastic Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Scholastic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Scholastic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Scholastic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Scholastic Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Scholastic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Scholastic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Scholastic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Scholastic entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Scholastic Risk Indicators
The analysis of Scholastic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Scholastic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting scholastic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.12 | |||
| Variance | 4.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.12 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.66) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Scholastic
The number of cover stories for Scholastic depends on current market conditions and Scholastic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Scholastic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Scholastic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Scholastic Short Properties
Scholastic's future price predictability will typically decrease when Scholastic's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Scholastic often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Scholastic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Scholastic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 124 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Scholastic to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Scholastic Stock please use our How to buy in Scholastic Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Publishing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Scholastic. If investors know Scholastic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Scholastic assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.269 | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share (0.19) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.012 |
The market value of Scholastic is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Scholastic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Scholastic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Scholastic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Scholastic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Scholastic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Scholastic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Scholastic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Scholastic's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.