Sprouts Farmers Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

SFM Stock  USD 77.09  2.36  3.16%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sprouts Farmers Market on the next trading day is expected to be 77.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 110.82. Sprouts Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Sprouts Farmers' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Sprouts Farmers' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Sprouts Farmers fundamentals over time.
As of now, the value of RSI of Sprouts Farmers' share price is approaching 38. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sprouts Farmers, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 38

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sprouts Farmers' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sprouts Farmers and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sprouts Farmers' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sprouts Farmers Market, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sprouts Farmers' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.341
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.9783
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.2654
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.7626
Wall Street Target Price
124.2857
Using Sprouts Farmers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sprouts Farmers Market from the perspective of Sprouts Farmers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sprouts Farmers using Sprouts Farmers' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sprouts using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sprouts Farmers' stock price.

Sprouts Farmers Short Interest

An investor who is long Sprouts Farmers may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sprouts Farmers and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sprouts Farmers with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
131.9448
Short Percent
0.1118
Short Ratio
3.93
Shares Short Prior Month
7.8 M
50 Day MA
82.4408

Sprouts Farmers Market Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Sprouts Farmers' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sprouts. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sprouts can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sprouts Farmers Market. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sprouts Farmers' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sprouts Farmers.

Sprouts Farmers Implied Volatility

    
  0.6  
Sprouts Farmers' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sprouts Farmers Market stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sprouts Farmers' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sprouts Farmers stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sprouts Farmers' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sprouts Farmers Market on the next trading day is expected to be 77.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 110.82.

Sprouts Farmers after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 77.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprouts Farmers to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Sprouts Farmers' Receivables Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 9th of January 2026, Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 5.65, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 11.08. . As of the 9th of January 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 101.2 M, while Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop about 169.1 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Sprouts Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sprouts Farmers' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sprouts Farmers' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sprouts Farmers stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sprouts Farmers' open interest, investors have to compare it to Sprouts Farmers' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sprouts Farmers is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sprouts. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Sprouts Farmers Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sprouts price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sprouts using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sprouts charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Sprouts Farmers simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Sprouts Farmers Market are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Sprouts Farmers Market prices get older.

Sprouts Farmers Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sprouts Farmers Market on the next trading day is expected to be 77.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.82, mean absolute percentage error of 15.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 110.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sprouts Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sprouts Farmers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sprouts Farmers Stock Forecast Pattern

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Sprouts Farmers Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sprouts Farmers' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sprouts Farmers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 73.14 and 81.04, respectively. We have considered Sprouts Farmers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
77.09
77.09
Expected Value
81.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sprouts Farmers stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sprouts Farmers stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.8457
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.4836
MADMean absolute deviation1.8167
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0218
SAESum of the absolute errors110.82
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Sprouts Farmers Market forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Sprouts Farmers observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Sprouts Farmers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sprouts Farmers Market. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
73.1477.0981.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.8757.8284.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
75.5980.3185.03
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
113.10124.29137.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sprouts Farmers. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sprouts Farmers' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sprouts Farmers' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sprouts Farmers Market.

Other Forecasting Options for Sprouts Farmers

For every potential investor in Sprouts, whether a beginner or expert, Sprouts Farmers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sprouts Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sprouts. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sprouts Farmers' price trends.

Sprouts Farmers Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sprouts Farmers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sprouts Farmers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sprouts Farmers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sprouts Farmers Market Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sprouts Farmers' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sprouts Farmers' current price.

Sprouts Farmers Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sprouts Farmers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sprouts Farmers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sprouts Farmers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sprouts Farmers Market entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sprouts Farmers Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sprouts Farmers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sprouts Farmers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sprouts stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Sprouts Farmers Market is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sprouts Farmers' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sprouts Farmers' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sprouts Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprouts Farmers to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sprouts Farmers. If investors know Sprouts will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sprouts Farmers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.341
Earnings Share
5.16
Revenue Per Share
87.89
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.131
Return On Assets
0.1102
The market value of Sprouts Farmers Market is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sprouts that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sprouts Farmers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sprouts Farmers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sprouts Farmers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sprouts Farmers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sprouts Farmers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sprouts Farmers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sprouts Farmers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.