Sprouts Farmers Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| SFM Stock | USD 71.44 0.89 1.26% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sprouts Farmers Market on the next trading day is expected to be 75.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 196.20. Sprouts Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Sprouts Farmers' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Sprouts Farmers' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Sprouts Farmers fundamentals over time.
As of now the value of rsi of Sprouts Farmers' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.341 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9783 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.2675 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.7697 | Wall Street Target Price 115.8571 |
Using Sprouts Farmers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sprouts Farmers Market from the perspective of Sprouts Farmers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sprouts Farmers using Sprouts Farmers' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sprouts using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sprouts Farmers' stock price.
Sprouts Farmers Short Interest
An investor who is long Sprouts Farmers may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sprouts Farmers and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sprouts Farmers with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 127.8941 | Short Percent 0.1072 | Short Ratio 3.82 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.1 M | 50 Day MA 80.1544 |
Sprouts Farmers Market Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sprouts Farmers' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sprouts. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sprouts can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sprouts Farmers Market. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Sprouts Farmers Implied Volatility | 0.85 |
Sprouts Farmers' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sprouts Farmers Market stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sprouts Farmers' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sprouts Farmers stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sprouts Farmers' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sprouts Farmers Market on the next trading day is expected to be 75.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 196.20. Sprouts Farmers after-hype prediction price | USD 69.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprouts Farmers to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sprouts contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sprouts Farmers Market will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0531% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Sprouts Farmers trading at USD 71.44, that is roughly USD 0.038 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sprouts Farmers' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sprouts Farmers Market options at the current volatility level of 0.85%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Sprouts Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sprouts Farmers' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sprouts Farmers' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sprouts Farmers stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sprouts Farmers' open interest, investors have to compare it to Sprouts Farmers' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sprouts Farmers is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sprouts. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sprouts Farmers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sprouts price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sprouts using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sprouts charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sprouts Farmers Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Sprouts Farmers Market on the next trading day is expected to be 75.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.22, mean absolute percentage error of 23.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 196.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sprouts Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sprouts Farmers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sprouts Farmers Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sprouts Farmers | Sprouts Farmers Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sprouts Farmers Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sprouts Farmers' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sprouts Farmers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.45 and 79.48, respectively. We have considered Sprouts Farmers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sprouts Farmers stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sprouts Farmers stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.2568 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.2164 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0386 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 196.1992 |
Predictive Modules for Sprouts Farmers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sprouts Farmers Market. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sprouts Farmers After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sprouts Farmers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sprouts Farmers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sprouts Farmers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sprouts Farmers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sprouts Farmers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sprouts Farmers' historical news coverage. Sprouts Farmers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 65.88 and 73.92, respectively. We have considered Sprouts Farmers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sprouts Farmers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sprouts Farmers Market is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sprouts Farmers Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sprouts Farmers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sprouts Farmers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sprouts Farmers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.56 | 4.02 | 1.54 | 0.08 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
71.44 | 69.90 | 2.16 |
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Sprouts Farmers Hype Timeline
On the 25th of January Sprouts Farmers Market is traded for 71.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Sprouts is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 69.9. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 146.18%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -2.16%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.56%. The volatility of related hype on Sprouts Farmers is about 2894.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.52. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Sprouts Farmers was at this time reported as 14.72. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.98. Sprouts Farmers Market recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.16. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:5 split on the 12th of February 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprouts Farmers to cross-verify your projections.Sprouts Farmers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sprouts Farmers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sprouts Farmers' future price movements. Getting to know how Sprouts Farmers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sprouts Farmers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACI | Albertsons Companies | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.47 | (1.99) | 8.43 | |
| CAG | ConAgra Foods | 0.28 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.29 | (2.53) | 7.20 | |
| SFD | Smithfield Foods Common | 0.05 | 10 per month | 1.02 | (0.01) | 2.15 | (1.60) | 8.32 | |
| CPB | Campbells Co | (0.07) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.28 | (3.12) | 8.15 | |
| OLLI | Ollies Bargain Outlet | (1.35) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.30 | (2.82) | 10.10 | |
| TAP | Molson Coors Brewing | 0.36 | 9 per month | 1.62 | 0.02 | 3.30 | (2.55) | 8.40 | |
| INGR | Ingredion Incorporated | 0.66 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.26 | (1.63) | 6.05 | |
| LW | Lamb Weston Holdings | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.51 | (2.96) | 30.35 | |
| PPC | Pilgrims Pride Corp | 1.27 | 8 per month | 1.40 | 0.07 | 3.22 | (1.79) | 8.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sprouts Farmers
For every potential investor in Sprouts, whether a beginner or expert, Sprouts Farmers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sprouts Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sprouts. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sprouts Farmers' price trends.Sprouts Farmers Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sprouts Farmers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sprouts Farmers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sprouts Farmers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sprouts Farmers Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sprouts Farmers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sprouts Farmers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sprouts Farmers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sprouts Farmers Market entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sprouts Farmers Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sprouts Farmers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sprouts Farmers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sprouts stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.9 | |||
| Variance | 15.22 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sprouts Farmers
The number of cover stories for Sprouts Farmers depends on current market conditions and Sprouts Farmers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sprouts Farmers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sprouts Farmers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sprouts Farmers Short Properties
Sprouts Farmers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Sprouts Farmers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sprouts Farmers Market often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sprouts Farmers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sprouts Farmers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 101.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 265.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprouts Farmers to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sprouts Farmers. If investors know Sprouts will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sprouts Farmers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.341 | Earnings Share 5.16 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.131 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Sprouts Farmers Market is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sprouts that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sprouts Farmers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sprouts Farmers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sprouts Farmers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sprouts Farmers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sprouts Farmers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sprouts Farmers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sprouts Farmers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.