Shinhan Financial Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

SHG Stock  USD 40.04  0.29  0.73%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Shinhan Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 39.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.79. Shinhan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shinhan Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Shinhan Financial Group is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Shinhan Financial 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Shinhan Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 39.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82, mean absolute percentage error of 1.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.79.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shinhan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shinhan Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shinhan Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

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Shinhan Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shinhan Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shinhan Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.63 and 42.11, respectively. We have considered Shinhan Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
40.04
39.87
Expected Value
42.11
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shinhan Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shinhan Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.789
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0957
MADMean absolute deviation0.8209
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.02
SAESum of the absolute errors46.79
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Shinhan Financial. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Shinhan Financial Group and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Shinhan Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shinhan Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.8040.0442.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.8636.1044.04
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
28.7031.5435.01
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.581.581.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shinhan Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shinhan Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shinhan Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shinhan Financial.

Other Forecasting Options for Shinhan Financial

For every potential investor in Shinhan, whether a beginner or expert, Shinhan Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shinhan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shinhan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shinhan Financial's price trends.

Shinhan Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shinhan Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shinhan Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shinhan Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shinhan Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shinhan Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shinhan Financial's current price.

Shinhan Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shinhan Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shinhan Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shinhan Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shinhan Financial Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shinhan Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shinhan Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shinhan Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shinhan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Shinhan Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Shinhan Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Shinhan Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Shinhan Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shinhan Financial to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shinhan Financial. If investors know Shinhan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shinhan Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.108
Dividend Share
3.2 K
Earnings Share
6.19
Revenue Per Share
29 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.224
The market value of Shinhan Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shinhan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shinhan Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shinhan Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shinhan Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shinhan Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shinhan Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shinhan Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shinhan Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.