Companhia Siderurgica Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SID Stock | USD 1.91 0.15 7.28% |
Companhia Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Companhia Siderurgica stock prices and determine the direction of Companhia Siderurgica Nacional's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Companhia Siderurgica's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength momentum indicator of Companhia Siderurgica's share price is at 54. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Companhia Siderurgica, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 33.206 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.04) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.07) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.02) | Wall Street Target Price 1.3347 |
Using Companhia Siderurgica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Companhia Siderurgica Nacional from the perspective of Companhia Siderurgica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Companhia Siderurgica using Companhia Siderurgica's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Companhia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Companhia Siderurgica's stock price.
Companhia Siderurgica Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Companhia Siderurgica's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Companhia. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Companhia Siderurgica stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 1.5327 | Short Percent 0.0079 | Short Ratio 2.15 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.4 M | 50 Day MA 1.5668 |
Companhia Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Companhia Siderurgica Nacional on the next trading day is expected to be 1.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.36.Companhia Siderurgica Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Companhia Siderurgica's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Companhia. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Companhia can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Companhia Siderurgica Nacional. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Companhia Siderurgica's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Companhia Siderurgica.
Companhia Siderurgica Implied Volatility | 2.08 |
Companhia Siderurgica's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Companhia Siderurgica Nacional stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Companhia Siderurgica's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Companhia Siderurgica stock will not fluctuate a lot when Companhia Siderurgica's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Companhia Siderurgica Nacional on the next trading day is expected to be 1.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.36. Companhia Siderurgica after-hype prediction price | USD 1.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Companhia contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Companhia Siderurgica Nacional will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.13% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Companhia Siderurgica trading at USD 1.91, that is roughly USD 0.002483 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Companhia Siderurgica's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Companhia Siderurgica Nacional options at the current volatility level of 2.08%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Companhia Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Companhia Siderurgica's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Companhia Siderurgica's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Companhia Siderurgica stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Companhia Siderurgica's open interest, investors have to compare it to Companhia Siderurgica's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Companhia Siderurgica is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Companhia. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Companhia Siderurgica Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Companhia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Companhia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Companhia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Companhia Siderurgica Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Companhia Siderurgica Nacional on the next trading day is expected to be 1.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.36.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Companhia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Companhia Siderurgica's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Companhia Siderurgica Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Companhia Siderurgica | Companhia Siderurgica Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Companhia Siderurgica Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Companhia Siderurgica's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Companhia Siderurgica's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.45, respectively. We have considered Companhia Siderurgica's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Companhia Siderurgica stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Companhia Siderurgica stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.2583 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0082 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0569 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0324 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.355 |
Predictive Modules for Companhia Siderurgica
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Companhia Siderurgica. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Companhia Siderurgica After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Companhia Siderurgica at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Companhia Siderurgica or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Companhia Siderurgica, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Companhia Siderurgica Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Companhia Siderurgica's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Companhia Siderurgica's historical news coverage. Companhia Siderurgica's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 5.46, respectively. We have considered Companhia Siderurgica's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Companhia Siderurgica is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Companhia Siderurgica is based on 3 months time horizon.
Companhia Siderurgica Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Companhia Siderurgica is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Companhia Siderurgica backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Companhia Siderurgica, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 3.54 | 0.01 | 0.17 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.91 | 1.92 | 0.52 |
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Companhia Siderurgica Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Companhia Siderurgica is traded for 1.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. Companhia is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.92 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.52%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Companhia Siderurgica is about 643.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.74. The company reported the last year's revenue of 43.69 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.54 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 12.2 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Companhia Siderurgica to cross-verify your projections.Companhia Siderurgica Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Companhia Siderurgica's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Companhia Siderurgica's future price movements. Getting to know how Companhia Siderurgica's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Companhia Siderurgica may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ASH | Ashland Global Holdings | (0.95) | 10 per month | 1.33 | 0.12 | 4.54 | (2.64) | 13.67 | |
| CSTM | Constellium Nv | (0.28) | 9 per month | 1.50 | 0.19 | 4.69 | (3.02) | 9.77 | |
| WS | Worthington Steel | 1.64 | 10 per month | 1.15 | 0.19 | 3.61 | (2.34) | 10.42 | |
| OLN | Olin Corporation | (0.30) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.72 | (4.71) | 12.44 | |
| CC | Chemours Co | 0.99 | 9 per month | 2.79 | 0.04 | 5.97 | (4.61) | 16.17 | |
| KWR | Quaker Chemical | (1.79) | 9 per month | 2.03 | 0.08 | 4.98 | (3.63) | 15.37 | |
| EXK | Endeavour Silver Corp | 0.28 | 10 per month | 4.22 | 0.12 | 9.31 | (5.34) | 20.53 | |
| CGAU | Centerra Gold | (0.37) | 10 per month | 2.91 | 0.21 | 5.00 | (4.58) | 14.92 | |
| SIM | Grupo Simec SAB | 0.04 | 8 per month | 1.74 | 0.07 | 5.28 | (3.96) | 17.73 | |
| ELVR | Sayona Mining Limited | (4.76) | 1 per month | 4.74 | 0.17 | 9.90 | (6.81) | 31.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for Companhia Siderurgica
For every potential investor in Companhia, whether a beginner or expert, Companhia Siderurgica's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Companhia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Companhia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Companhia Siderurgica's price trends.Companhia Siderurgica Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Companhia Siderurgica stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Companhia Siderurgica could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Companhia Siderurgica by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Companhia Siderurgica Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Companhia Siderurgica stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Companhia Siderurgica shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Companhia Siderurgica stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Companhia Siderurgica Nacional entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Companhia Siderurgica Risk Indicators
The analysis of Companhia Siderurgica's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Companhia Siderurgica's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting companhia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.74 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.53 | |||
| Variance | 12.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.2 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.55 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.38) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Companhia Siderurgica
The number of cover stories for Companhia Siderurgica depends on current market conditions and Companhia Siderurgica's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Companhia Siderurgica is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Companhia Siderurgica's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Companhia Siderurgica Short Properties
Companhia Siderurgica's future price predictability will typically decrease when Companhia Siderurgica's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Companhia Siderurgica Nacional often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Companhia Siderurgica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Companhia Siderurgica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Companhia Siderurgica to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Companhia diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Companhia Siderurgica. If investors know Companhia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Companhia Siderurgica data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 33.206 | Earnings Share (0.32) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.066 | Return On Assets |
Companhia Siderurgica's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Companhia's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Companhia Siderurgica's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Companhia Siderurgica's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Companhia Siderurgica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Companhia Siderurgica is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Companhia Siderurgica's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.