Sitime Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| SITM Stock | USD 342.90 34.81 9.22% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sitime on the next trading day is expected to be 379.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 22.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,402. Sitime Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Sitime's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Sitime's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Sitime fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Sitime's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7407 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.8382 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.2842 | Wall Street Target Price 376.1111 |
Using Sitime hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sitime from the perspective of Sitime response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sitime using Sitime's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sitime using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sitime's stock price.
Sitime Short Interest
An investor who is long Sitime may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sitime and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sitime with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 251.018 | Short Percent 0.0942 | Short Ratio 3.41 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.3 M | 50 Day MA 335.6218 |
Sitime Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sitime's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sitime. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sitime can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sitime. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Sitime Implied Volatility | 0.77 |
Sitime's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sitime stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sitime's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sitime stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sitime's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sitime on the next trading day is expected to be 379.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 22.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,402. Sitime after-hype prediction price | USD 375.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sitime to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sitime contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sitime will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0481% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Sitime trading at USD 342.9, that is roughly USD 0.17 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sitime's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sitime options at the current volatility level of 0.77%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Sitime Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sitime's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sitime's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sitime stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sitime's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sitime's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sitime is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sitime. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sitime Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sitime price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sitime using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sitime charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sitime Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Sitime on the next trading day is expected to be 379.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 22.99, mean absolute percentage error of 712.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,402.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sitime Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sitime's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sitime Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sitime | Sitime Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sitime Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sitime's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sitime's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 374.63 and 384.20, respectively. We have considered Sitime's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sitime stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sitime stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.6793 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 22.987 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0709 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1402.2098 |
Predictive Modules for Sitime
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sitime. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sitime's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sitime After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sitime at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sitime or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sitime, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sitime Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sitime's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sitime's historical news coverage. Sitime's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 371.32 and 380.64, respectively. We have considered Sitime's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sitime is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sitime is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sitime Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sitime is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sitime backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sitime, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 4.79 | 3.06 | 0.68 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
342.90 | 375.98 | 0.46 |
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Sitime Hype Timeline
Sitime is at this time traded for 342.90. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 3.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.68. Sitime is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 375.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 71.92%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.46%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.46%. The volatility of related hype on Sitime is about 323.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 342.22. About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 136.18. Sitime recorded a loss per share of 2.79. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sitime to cross-verify your projections.Sitime Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sitime's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sitime's future price movements. Getting to know how Sitime's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sitime may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OLED | Universal Display | (2.49) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.60 | (3.46) | 11.06 | |
| CRUS | Cirrus Logic | (1.28) | 12 per month | 1.83 | (0.02) | 3.99 | (2.75) | 11.90 | |
| ONTO | Onto Innovation | 3.27 | 10 per month | 2.46 | 0.20 | 5.53 | (4.35) | 10.98 | |
| QRVO | Qorvo Inc | (0.18) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.47 | (3.02) | 13.27 | |
| BLSH | Bullish | (1.66) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.75 | (7.72) | 15.46 | |
| SANM | Sanmina | (11.42) | 10 per month | 3.22 | 0.12 | 4.95 | (7.16) | 25.62 | |
| SOUN | SoundHound AI | (0.46) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 6.32 | (7.38) | 16.04 | |
| KVYO | Klaviyo | 0.15 | 7 per month | 3.08 | 0.03 | 5.07 | (5.10) | 17.39 | |
| SMTC | Semtech | (0.64) | 9 per month | 2.96 | 0.06 | 5.78 | (5.16) | 18.27 | |
| DSGX | Descartes Systems Group | (0.10) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.02 | (3.50) | 18.10 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sitime
For every potential investor in Sitime, whether a beginner or expert, Sitime's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sitime Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sitime. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sitime's price trends.Sitime Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sitime stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sitime could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sitime by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sitime Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sitime stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sitime shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sitime stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sitime entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 15942.51 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.32) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.91 | |||
| Day Median Price | 354.28 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 350.48 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (28.78) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (34.81) |
Sitime Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sitime's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sitime's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sitime stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.63 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.74 | |||
| Variance | 22.43 | |||
| Downside Variance | 15.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 13.21 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.71) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sitime
The number of cover stories for Sitime depends on current market conditions and Sitime's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sitime is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sitime's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sitime Short Properties
Sitime's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sitime's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sitime often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sitime's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sitime's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 418.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sitime to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Sitime Stock, please use our How to Invest in Sitime guide.You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sitime. If investors know Sitime will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sitime listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | Earnings Share (2.79) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.448 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Sitime is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sitime that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sitime's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sitime's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sitime's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sitime's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sitime's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sitime is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sitime's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.