San Juan Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

SJT Stock  USD 4.06  0.04  0.98%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of San Juan Basin on the next trading day is expected to be 4.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.09. San Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 25.15 in 2024. Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 12.95 in 2024. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 37.3 M in 2024. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 50.2 M in 2024.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through San Juan price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

San Juan Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of San Juan Basin on the next trading day is expected to be 4.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict San Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that San Juan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

San Juan Stock Forecast Pattern

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San Juan Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting San Juan's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. San Juan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.59 and 6.76, respectively. We have considered San Juan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.06
4.18
Expected Value
6.76
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of San Juan stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent San Juan stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.6766
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.149
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0395
SAESum of the absolute errors9.0905
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as San Juan Basin historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for San Juan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as San Juan Basin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.484.066.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.698.1510.73
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.6620.5022.76
Details

Other Forecasting Options for San Juan

For every potential investor in San, whether a beginner or expert, San Juan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. San Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in San. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying San Juan's price trends.

San Juan Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with San Juan stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of San Juan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing San Juan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

San Juan Basin Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of San Juan's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of San Juan's current price.

San Juan Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how San Juan stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading San Juan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying San Juan stock market strength indicators, traders can identify San Juan Basin entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

San Juan Risk Indicators

The analysis of San Juan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in San Juan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting san stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for San Stock Analysis

When running San Juan's price analysis, check to measure San Juan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy San Juan is operating at the current time. Most of San Juan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of San Juan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move San Juan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of San Juan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.