Skywater Technology Stock Forward View
| SKYT Stock | USD 28.38 1.02 3.47% |
Skywater Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Skywater Technology's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 97.333 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.10) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.0317 | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.28) | Wall Street Target Price 35 |
Using Skywater Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Skywater Technology from the perspective of Skywater Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Skywater Technology using Skywater Technology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Skywater using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Skywater Technology's stock price.
Skywater Technology Short Interest
An investor who is long Skywater Technology may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Skywater Technology and may potentially protect profits, hedge Skywater Technology with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 15.2037 | Short Percent 0.0799 | Short Ratio 0.69 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.2 M | 50 Day MA 24.2838 |
Skywater Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Skywater Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 26.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.13.Skywater Technology Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Skywater Technology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Skywater. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Skywater can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Skywater Technology. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Skywater Technology's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Skywater Technology.
Skywater Technology Implied Volatility | 0.75 |
Skywater Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Skywater Technology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Skywater Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Skywater Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Skywater Technology's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Skywater Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 26.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.13.
Skywater Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 29.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Skywater Technology to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Skywater contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Skywater Technology will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0469% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Skywater Technology trading at USD 28.38, that is roughly USD 0.0133 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Skywater Technology's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Skywater Technology options at the current volatility level of 0.75%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Skywater Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Skywater Technology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Skywater Technology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Skywater Technology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Skywater Technology's open interest, investors have to compare it to Skywater Technology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Skywater Technology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Skywater. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Skywater Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Skywater price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Skywater using various technical indicators. When you analyze Skywater charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Skywater Technology's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2019-12-31 | Previous Quarter 49.4 M | Current Value 30.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 16 M |
Skywater Technology Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Skywater Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 26.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.64, mean absolute percentage error of 3.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.13.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Skywater Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Skywater Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Skywater Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Skywater Technology | Skywater Technology Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Skywater Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Skywater Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Skywater Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.59 and 32.51, respectively. We have considered Skywater Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Skywater Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Skywater Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.4643 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.6415 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0822 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 100.1303 |
Predictive Modules for Skywater Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Skywater Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Skywater Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Skywater Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Skywater Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Skywater Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Skywater Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Skywater Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Skywater Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Skywater Technology's historical news coverage. Skywater Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.27 and 35.19, respectively. We have considered Skywater Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Skywater Technology is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Skywater Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Skywater Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Skywater Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Skywater Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Skywater Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.06 | 5.96 | 0.95 | 0.09 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
28.38 | 29.23 | 0.58 |
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Skywater Technology Hype Timeline
Skywater Technology is at this time traded for 28.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.95, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Skywater is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 29.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.58%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.06%. The volatility of related hype on Skywater Technology is about 7011.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.29. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Skywater Technology to cross-verify your projections.Skywater Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Skywater Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Skywater Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Skywater Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Skywater Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ICHR | Ichor Holdings | (0.81) | 8 per month | 2.97 | 0.31 | 8.86 | (4.99) | 20.15 | |
| AEHR | Aehr Test Systems | 1.46 | 10 per month | 4.32 | 0.10 | 10.24 | (7.38) | 28.30 | |
| AOSL | Alpha and Omega | (0.28) | 7 per month | 2.43 | 0.01 | 5.18 | (4.97) | 12.12 | |
| LAES | SEALSQ Corp | 0.26 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 10.08 | (8.80) | 24.17 | |
| IMOS | ChipMOS Technologies | (0.29) | 10 per month | 2.53 | 0.17 | 8.27 | (4.30) | 23.93 | |
| WOLF | Wolfspeed | 0.10 | 9 per month | 4.13 | (0.01) | 9.57 | (6.96) | 22.07 | |
| OWLS | OBOOK Holdings Class | (0.51) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 10.05 | (7.94) | 30.05 | |
| POET | POET Technologies | (0.16) | 8 per month | 5.45 | 0.04 | 13.11 | (8.39) | 45.50 | |
| IBTA | Ibotta | (0.59) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.28 | (5.77) | 33.30 | |
| ITRN | Ituran Location and | (0.03) | 10 per month | 1.15 | 0.13 | 4.15 | (2.35) | 8.21 |
Other Forecasting Options for Skywater Technology
For every potential investor in Skywater, whether a beginner or expert, Skywater Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Skywater Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Skywater. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Skywater Technology's price trends.Skywater Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Skywater Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Skywater Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Skywater Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Skywater Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Skywater Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Skywater Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Skywater Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Skywater Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 28.38 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 28.38 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.51) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.02) |
Skywater Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Skywater Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Skywater Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting skywater stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.31 | |||
| Variance | 53.41 | |||
| Downside Variance | 32.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 27.68 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.95) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Skywater Technology
The number of cover stories for Skywater Technology depends on current market conditions and Skywater Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Skywater Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Skywater Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Skywater Technology Short Properties
Skywater Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Skywater Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Skywater Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Skywater Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Skywater Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.8 M |
Additional Tools for Skywater Stock Analysis
When running Skywater Technology's price analysis, check to measure Skywater Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Skywater Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Skywater Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Skywater Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Skywater Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Skywater Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.