Sun Life Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| SLF Stock | USD 63.36 0.80 1.28% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sun Life Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 63.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.00. Sun Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sun Life's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength indicator of Sun Life's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.8983 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.3308 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.8665 | Wall Street Target Price 61.8861 |
Using Sun Life hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sun Life Financial from the perspective of Sun Life response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sun Life using Sun Life's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sun using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sun Life's stock price.
Sun Life Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Sun Life's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Sun. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Sun Life stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 60.7862 | Short Percent 0.0097 | Short Ratio 4.12 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.1 M | 50 Day MA 60.5632 |
Sun Life Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sun Life's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sun. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sun can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sun Life Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Sun Life Implied Volatility | 0.42 |
Sun Life's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sun Life Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sun Life's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sun Life stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sun Life's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sun Life Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 63.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.00. Sun Life after-hype prediction price | USD 62.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sun Life to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sun contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sun Life Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0263% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Sun Life trading at USD 63.36, that is roughly USD 0.0166 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sun Life's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sun Life Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Sun Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sun Life's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sun Life's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sun Life stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sun Life's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sun Life's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sun Life is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sun. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sun Life Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sun price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sun using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sun charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sun Life Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sun Life Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 63.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sun Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sun Life's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sun Life Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sun Life | Sun Life Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sun Life Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sun Life's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sun Life's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 62.45 and 64.47, respectively. We have considered Sun Life's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sun Life stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sun Life stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0719 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4407 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0074 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.0 |
Predictive Modules for Sun Life
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sun Life Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sun Life After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sun Life at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sun Life or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sun Life, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sun Life Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sun Life's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sun Life's historical news coverage. Sun Life's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 61.55 and 63.59, respectively. We have considered Sun Life's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sun Life is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sun Life Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sun Life Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sun Life is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sun Life backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sun Life, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
63.36 | 62.57 | 0.02 |
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Sun Life Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Sun Life Financial is traded for 63.36. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Sun is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 62.57 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Sun Life is about 526.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 63.35. The company reported the last year's revenue of 34.48 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 4.34 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 14 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sun Life to cross-verify your projections.Sun Life Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sun Life's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sun Life's future price movements. Getting to know how Sun Life's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sun Life may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EQH | Axa Equitable Holdings | 1.21 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.61 | (2.40) | 9.66 | |
| AIG | American International Group | (2.57) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.22 | (2.43) | 13.58 | |
| ACGL | Arch Capital Group | 1.24 | 11 per month | 0.86 | 0 | 1.82 | (1.42) | 4.71 | |
| ORI | Old Republic International | (0.04) | 11 per month | 2.16 | (0.05) | 2.06 | (2.87) | 5.68 | |
| HIG | Hartford Financial Services | (1.01) | 12 per month | 0.83 | (0.03) | 1.96 | (1.52) | 6.38 | |
| GSHD | Goosehead Insurance | (0.91) | 9 per month | 2.38 | (0.01) | 4.37 | (3.99) | 14.87 | |
| ESGR | Enstar Group Limited | (0.33) | 7 per month | 0.07 | (0.40) | 0.37 | (0.20) | 0.85 | |
| ACGLO | Arch Capital Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.72 | (0.87) | 2.15 | |
| AXAHY | Axa SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.19 | (1.36) | 4.23 | |
| IGIC | International General Insurance | 0.07 | 9 per month | 1.06 | 0.05 | 2.20 | (1.66) | 9.34 | |
| AEG | Aegon NV ADR | (0.68) | 9 per month | 2.09 | (0.01) | 2.39 | (2.18) | 11.41 | |
| BRK-B | Berkshire Hathaway | 0.72 | 5 per month | 0.94 | (0.09) | 1.24 | (1.44) | 3.84 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sun Life
For every potential investor in Sun, whether a beginner or expert, Sun Life's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sun Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sun. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sun Life's price trends.Sun Life Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sun Life stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sun Life could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sun Life by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sun Life Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sun Life stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sun Life shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sun Life stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sun Life Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sun Life Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sun Life's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sun Life's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sun stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.699 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9966 | |||
| Variance | 0.9933 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.47 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.24 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sun Life
The number of cover stories for Sun Life depends on current market conditions and Sun Life's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sun Life is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sun Life's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sun Life Short Properties
Sun Life's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sun Life's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sun Life Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sun Life's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sun Life's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 581 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.8 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sun Life to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Life & Health Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sun Life. If investors know Sun will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sun Life listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | Dividend Share 3.44 | Earnings Share 3.81 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.041 |
The market value of Sun Life Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sun that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sun Life's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sun Life's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sun Life's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sun Life's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sun Life's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sun Life is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sun Life's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.