Silgan Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SLGN Stock | USD 43.37 0.21 0.49% |
Silgan Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Silgan Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Silgan Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Silgan Holdings fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Silgan Holdings' share price is at 55. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Silgan Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.14 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.8729 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.6886 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.8095 | Wall Street Target Price 49 |
Using Silgan Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Silgan Holdings from the perspective of Silgan Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Silgan Holdings using Silgan Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Silgan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Silgan Holdings' stock price.
Silgan Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Silgan Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Silgan Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Silgan Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 46.7978 | Short Percent 0.0804 | Short Ratio 9.51 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.4 M | 50 Day MA 40.3452 |
Silgan Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Silgan Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 42.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.79.Silgan Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Silgan Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Silgan. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Silgan can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Silgan Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Silgan Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Silgan Holdings.
Silgan Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.78 |
Silgan Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Silgan Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Silgan Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Silgan Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Silgan Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Silgan Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 42.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.79. Silgan Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 43.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Silgan Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Silgan contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Silgan Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0488% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Silgan Holdings trading at USD 43.37, that is roughly USD 0.0211 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Silgan Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Silgan Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.78%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Silgan Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Silgan Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Silgan Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Silgan Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Silgan Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Silgan Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Silgan Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Silgan. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Silgan Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Silgan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Silgan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Silgan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Silgan Holdings Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Silgan Holdings' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1994-03-31 | Previous Quarter 317.5 M | Current Value 389.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 168.8 M |
Silgan Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Silgan Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 42.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Silgan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Silgan Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Silgan Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Silgan Holdings | Silgan Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Silgan Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Silgan Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Silgan Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.54 and 44.32, respectively. We have considered Silgan Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Silgan Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Silgan Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.5772 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5211 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.013 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 31.7874 |
Predictive Modules for Silgan Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silgan Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Silgan Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Silgan Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Silgan Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Silgan Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Silgan Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Silgan Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Silgan Holdings' historical news coverage. Silgan Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 41.13 and 45.61, respectively. We have considered Silgan Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Silgan Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Silgan Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Silgan Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Silgan Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Silgan Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Silgan Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.39 | 0.11 | 0.04 | 31 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 31 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
43.37 | 43.37 | 0.00 |
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Silgan Holdings Hype Timeline
Silgan Holdings is at this time traded for 43.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Silgan is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Silgan Holdings is about 702.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.41. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Silgan Holdings was at this time reported as 21.51. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.84. Silgan Holdings last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 30th of May 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 31 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Silgan Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Silgan Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Silgan Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Silgan Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Silgan Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Silgan Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SON | Sonoco Products | 0.32 | 19 per month | 1.01 | 0.15 | 3.18 | (2.07) | 6.16 | |
| GPK | Graphic Packaging Holding | 1.40 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.59 | (3.21) | 17.54 | |
| SEE | Sealed Air | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.59 | 0.1 | 2.13 | (1.69) | 19.98 | |
| TNL | Travel Leisure Co | 0.50 | 8 per month | 1.68 | 0.07 | 3.13 | (2.85) | 22.04 | |
| GEF | Greif Bros | (1.31) | 11 per month | 1.14 | 0.15 | 2.61 | (2.01) | 5.52 | |
| DORM | Dorman Products | 0.49 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.69 | (2.64) | 13.70 | |
| KTB | Kontoor Brands | 0.57 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 3.87 | (4.81) | 13.84 | |
| CHH | Choice Hotels International | 0.57 | 10 per month | 1.92 | 0 | 4.35 | (3.41) | 10.13 | |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Products | (0.61) | 8 per month | 1.27 | (0.05) | 2.08 | (1.70) | 9.71 | |
| RUSHA | Rush Enterprises A | 0.01 | 26 per month | 1.43 | 0.13 | 3.25 | (2.49) | 10.82 |
Other Forecasting Options for Silgan Holdings
For every potential investor in Silgan, whether a beginner or expert, Silgan Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Silgan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Silgan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Silgan Holdings' price trends.Silgan Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Silgan Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Silgan Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Silgan Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Silgan Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Silgan Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Silgan Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Silgan Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Silgan Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Silgan Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Silgan Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Silgan Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting silgan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Variance | 4.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.25 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Silgan Holdings
The number of cover stories for Silgan Holdings depends on current market conditions and Silgan Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Silgan Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Silgan Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Silgan Holdings Short Properties
Silgan Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Silgan Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Silgan Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Silgan Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Silgan Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 822.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Silgan Holdings to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Silgan Stock, please use our How to Invest in Silgan Holdings guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Silgan Holdings. If investors know Silgan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Silgan Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.14 | Dividend Share 0.79 | Earnings Share 2.94 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.151 |
The market value of Silgan Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Silgan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Silgan Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Silgan Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Silgan Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Silgan Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Silgan Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Silgan Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Silgan Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.