Sumitomo Mitsui Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| SMFG Stock | USD 20.99 0.30 1.41% |
Sumitomo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sumitomo Mitsui's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Sumitomo Mitsui's stock price is roughly 63. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 1st of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sumitomo, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Sumitomo Mitsui hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial from the perspective of Sumitomo Mitsui response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 21.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.75. Sumitomo Mitsui after-hype prediction price | USD 21.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sumitomo Mitsui to cross-verify your projections. Sumitomo Mitsui Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sumitomo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sumitomo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sumitomo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sumitomo Mitsui Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 21.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sumitomo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sumitomo Mitsui's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sumitomo Mitsui Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sumitomo Mitsui | Sumitomo Mitsui Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sumitomo Mitsui Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sumitomo Mitsui's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sumitomo Mitsui's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.15 and 23.21, respectively. We have considered Sumitomo Mitsui's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sumitomo Mitsui stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sumitomo Mitsui stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.126 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3074 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0164 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.7526 |
Predictive Modules for Sumitomo Mitsui
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sumitomo Mitsui Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sumitomo Mitsui After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sumitomo Mitsui at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sumitomo Mitsui or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sumitomo Mitsui, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sumitomo Mitsui Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sumitomo Mitsui's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sumitomo Mitsui's historical news coverage. Sumitomo Mitsui's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.49 and 22.55, respectively. We have considered Sumitomo Mitsui's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sumitomo Mitsui is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sumitomo Mitsui Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sumitomo Mitsui is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sumitomo Mitsui backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sumitomo Mitsui, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 1.53 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.99 | 21.02 | 0.14 |
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Sumitomo Mitsui Hype Timeline
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial is at this time traded for 20.99. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Sumitomo is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Sumitomo Mitsui is about 6259.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.00. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 9.66 T. Net Income was 1.18 T with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.42 T. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sumitomo Mitsui to cross-verify your projections.Sumitomo Mitsui Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sumitomo Mitsui's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sumitomo Mitsui's future price movements. Getting to know how Sumitomo Mitsui's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sumitomo Mitsui may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MUFG | Mitsubishi UFJ Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.33 | 0.17 | 2.30 | (2.34) | 7.11 | |
| NWG | Natwest Group PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.34 | 0.16 | 2.49 | (2.19) | 8.21 | |
| BCS | Barclays PLC ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.15 | 0.23 | 2.70 | (2.35) | 5.54 | |
| BAC-PK | Bank of America | 0.19 | 18 per month | 0.28 | (0.09) | 0.60 | (0.53) | 1.27 | |
| BBVA | Banco Bilbao Viscaya | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | 0.25 | 2.92 | (1.98) | 7.05 | |
| MFG | Mizuho Financial Group | 0.03 | 8 per month | 1.13 | 0.26 | 2.99 | (2.03) | 7.66 | |
| NMR | Nomura Holdings ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.64 | 0.19 | 2.58 | (2.27) | 9.00 | |
| BSBR | Banco Santander Brasil | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.85 | 0.15 | 3.66 | (3.05) | 10.37 | |
| IX | Orix Corp Ads | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.81 | 0.26 | 1.83 | (1.62) | 7.42 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sumitomo Mitsui
For every potential investor in Sumitomo, whether a beginner or expert, Sumitomo Mitsui's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sumitomo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sumitomo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sumitomo Mitsui's price trends.Sumitomo Mitsui Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sumitomo Mitsui stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sumitomo Mitsui could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sumitomo Mitsui by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sumitomo Mitsui Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sumitomo Mitsui stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sumitomo Mitsui shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sumitomo Mitsui stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sumitomo Mitsui Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sumitomo Mitsui Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sumitomo Mitsui's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sumitomo Mitsui's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sumitomo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Variance | 2.34 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sumitomo Mitsui
The number of cover stories for Sumitomo Mitsui depends on current market conditions and Sumitomo Mitsui's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sumitomo Mitsui is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sumitomo Mitsui's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sumitomo Mitsui Short Properties
Sumitomo Mitsui's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sumitomo Mitsui's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sumitomo Mitsui's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sumitomo Mitsui's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 103.8 T |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sumitomo Mitsui to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Can Diversified Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does Sumitomo have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sumitomo Mitsui. If investors know Sumitomo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Sumitomo Mitsui demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Investors evaluate Sumitomo Mitsui Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Sumitomo Mitsui's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Sumitomo Mitsui's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sumitomo Mitsui's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sumitomo Mitsui is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Sumitomo Mitsui's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.