Smart Sand Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| SND Stock | USD 4.65 0.06 1.31% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Smart Sand on the next trading day is expected to be 4.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.78. Smart Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Smart Sand stock prices and determine the direction of Smart Sand's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Smart Sand's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Smart Sand's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.931 | Wall Street Target Price 3 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.469 |
Using Smart Sand hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Smart Sand from the perspective of Smart Sand response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Smart Sand using Smart Sand's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Smart using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Smart Sand's stock price.
Smart Sand Implied Volatility | 0.75 |
Smart Sand's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Smart Sand stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Smart Sand's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Smart Sand stock will not fluctuate a lot when Smart Sand's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Smart Sand on the next trading day is expected to be 4.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.78. Smart Sand after-hype prediction price | USD 4.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Smart Sand to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Smart Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Smart Sand's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Smart Sand's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Smart Sand stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Smart Sand's open interest, investors have to compare it to Smart Sand's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Smart Sand is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Smart. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Smart Sand Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Smart price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Smart using various technical indicators. When you analyze Smart charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Smart Sand Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Smart Sand on the next trading day is expected to be 4.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Smart Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Smart Sand's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Smart Sand Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Smart Sand | Smart Sand Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Smart Sand Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Smart Sand's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Smart Sand's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 10.21, respectively. We have considered Smart Sand's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Smart Sand stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Smart Sand stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7362 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2546 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0767 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.7832 |
Predictive Modules for Smart Sand
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Smart Sand. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Smart Sand After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Smart Sand at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Smart Sand or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Smart Sand, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Smart Sand Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Smart Sand's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Smart Sand's historical news coverage. Smart Sand's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.23 and 10.31, respectively. We have considered Smart Sand's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Smart Sand is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Smart Sand is based on 3 months time horizon.
Smart Sand Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Smart Sand is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Smart Sand backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Smart Sand, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.39 | 5.62 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 14 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 14 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.65 | 4.69 | 0.86 |
|
Smart Sand Hype Timeline
On the 24th of January Smart Sand is traded for 4.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Smart is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.69 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.86%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.39%. The volatility of related hype on Smart Sand is about 12217.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.71. The company reported the last year's revenue of 311.37 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.99 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 40.12 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 14 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Smart Sand to cross-verify your projections.Smart Sand Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Smart Sand's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Smart Sand's future price movements. Getting to know how Smart Sand's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Smart Sand may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LSE | Leishen Energy Holding | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.60 | (5.83) | 15.69 | |
| SLNG | Stabilis Solutions | 0.03 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.83 | (4.40) | 11.21 | |
| NCSM | NCS Multistage Holdings | (1.55) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.26 | (4.85) | 20.91 | |
| DTI | Drilling Tools International | 0.06 | 11 per month | 4.08 | 0.16 | 11.24 | (7.35) | 22.79 | |
| MMLP | Martin Midstream Partners | (0.26) | 15 per month | 2.64 | 0.05 | 6.25 | (4.27) | 19.56 | |
| ZEO | Zeo Energy Corp | 0.61 | 19 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 7.56 | (8.72) | 24.78 | |
| EP | Empire Petroleum Corp | 0.32 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 9.18 | (7.74) | 20.26 | |
| EPSN | Epsilon Energy | 0.02 | 10 per month | 2.04 | (0.03) | 4.46 | (3.14) | 11.38 | |
| IMPP | Imperial Petroleum | 0.61 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.24 | (6.67) | 43.25 | |
| SOL | Emeren Group | 0.61 | 18 per month | 0.78 | (0.01) | 2.20 | (1.16) | 4.54 |
Other Forecasting Options for Smart Sand
For every potential investor in Smart, whether a beginner or expert, Smart Sand's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Smart Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Smart. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Smart Sand's price trends.Smart Sand Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Smart Sand stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Smart Sand could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Smart Sand by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Smart Sand Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Smart Sand stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Smart Sand shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Smart Sand stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Smart Sand entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 26724.29 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2222 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.55 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.58 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.14 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.06 |
Smart Sand Risk Indicators
The analysis of Smart Sand's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Smart Sand's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting smart stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.46 | |||
| Variance | 29.8 | |||
| Downside Variance | 32.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 15.76 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Smart Sand
The number of cover stories for Smart Sand depends on current market conditions and Smart Sand's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Smart Sand is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Smart Sand's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Smart Sand Short Properties
Smart Sand's future price predictability will typically decrease when Smart Sand's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Smart Sand often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Smart Sand's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smart Sand's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Smart Sand to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Smart Stock refer to our How to Trade Smart Stock guide.You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Oil & Gas Equipment & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Smart Sand. If investors know Smart will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Smart Sand listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.931 | Earnings Share 0.1 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.469 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Smart Sand is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Smart that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Smart Sand's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Smart Sand's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Smart Sand's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Smart Sand's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Smart Sand's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Smart Sand is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Smart Sand's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.