Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SNOA Stock | USD 2.85 0.06 2.06% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 2.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.68. Sonoma Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sonoma Pharmaceuticals stock prices and determine the direction of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Sonoma |
Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2005-03-31 | Previous Quarter 2.6 M | Current Value 4.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 4 M |
Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 2.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.68.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sonoma Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast Pattern
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Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 11.10, respectively. We have considered Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sonoma Pharmaceuticals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.8134 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2079 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0634 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.6807 |
Predictive Modules for Sonoma Pharmaceuticals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sonoma Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Sonoma Pharmaceuticals
For every potential investor in Sonoma, whether a beginner or expert, Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sonoma Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sonoma. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' price trends.View Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sonoma Pharmaceuticals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sonoma Pharmaceuticals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sonoma Pharmaceuticals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sonoma Pharmaceuticals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 50821.15 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.20) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.99 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.94 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.17) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.06) |
Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sonoma stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.11 | |||
| Variance | 65.82 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Sonoma Pharmaceuticals offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Sonoma Stock refer to our How to Trade Sonoma Stock guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Sonoma will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sonoma Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.99) | Revenue Per Share 20.967 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets (0.20) | Return On Equity (0.75) |
The market value of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sonoma that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sonoma Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.