Senti Biosciences Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SNTI Stock  USD 2.17  0.05  2.36%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Senti Biosciences on the next trading day is expected to be 2.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.13. Senti Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Senti Biosciences' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The Senti Biosciences' current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 8.20, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 1.30. . The Senti Biosciences' current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 4.7 M, while Net Loss is projected to decrease to (55 M).

Senti Biosciences Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Senti Biosciences' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
35.9 M
Current Value
40.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
20 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Senti Biosciences is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Senti Biosciences value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Senti Biosciences Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Senti Biosciences on the next trading day is expected to be 2.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.13.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Senti Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Senti Biosciences' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Senti Biosciences Stock Forecast Pattern

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Senti Biosciences Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Senti Biosciences' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Senti Biosciences' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 6.82, respectively. We have considered Senti Biosciences' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.17
2.19
Expected Value
6.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Senti Biosciences stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Senti Biosciences stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.1075
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1005
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0403
SAESum of the absolute errors6.1332
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Senti Biosciences. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Senti Biosciences. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Senti Biosciences

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Senti Biosciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Senti Biosciences' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.166.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.587.21
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.644.004.44
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Senti Biosciences

For every potential investor in Senti, whether a beginner or expert, Senti Biosciences' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Senti Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Senti. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Senti Biosciences' price trends.

View Senti Biosciences Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Senti Biosciences Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Senti Biosciences' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Senti Biosciences' current price.

Senti Biosciences Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Senti Biosciences stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Senti Biosciences shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Senti Biosciences stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Senti Biosciences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Senti Biosciences Risk Indicators

The analysis of Senti Biosciences' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Senti Biosciences' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting senti stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Senti Biosciences offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Senti Biosciences' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Senti Biosciences Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Senti Biosciences Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Senti Biosciences to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Senti Stock please use our How to Invest in Senti Biosciences guide.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Senti Biosciences. If investors know Senti will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Senti Biosciences listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(15.59)
Revenue Per Share
0.075
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(1.00)
Return On Assets
(0.33)
Return On Equity
(1.11)
The market value of Senti Biosciences is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Senti that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Senti Biosciences' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Senti Biosciences' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Senti Biosciences' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Senti Biosciences' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Senti Biosciences' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Senti Biosciences is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Senti Biosciences' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.