Senti Biosciences Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SNTI Stock | USD 0.87 0.01 1.14% |
Senti Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Senti Biosciences' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 11th of February 2026 the rsi of Senti Biosciences' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Senti Biosciences hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Senti Biosciences from the perspective of Senti Biosciences response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Senti Biosciences on the next trading day is expected to be 0.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.63. Senti Biosciences after-hype prediction price | USD 0.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Senti Biosciences to cross-verify your projections. Senti Biosciences Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Senti price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Senti using various technical indicators. When you analyze Senti charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Senti Biosciences Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Senti Biosciences on the next trading day is expected to be 0.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Senti Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Senti Biosciences' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Senti Biosciences Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Senti Biosciences | Senti Biosciences Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Senti Biosciences Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Senti Biosciences' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Senti Biosciences' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 8.06, respectively. We have considered Senti Biosciences' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Senti Biosciences stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Senti Biosciences stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.2826 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0179 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0772 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0545 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.6307 |
Predictive Modules for Senti Biosciences
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Senti Biosciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Senti Biosciences' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Senti Biosciences After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Senti Biosciences at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Senti Biosciences or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Senti Biosciences, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Senti Biosciences Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Senti Biosciences' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Senti Biosciences' historical news coverage. Senti Biosciences' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 8.09, respectively. We have considered Senti Biosciences' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Senti Biosciences is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Senti Biosciences is based on 3 months time horizon.
Senti Biosciences Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Senti Biosciences is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Senti Biosciences backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Senti Biosciences, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.89 | 7.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.87 | 0.84 | 4.55 |
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Senti Biosciences Hype Timeline
Senti Biosciences is at this time traded for 0.87. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Senti is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.84. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -4.55%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.89%. The volatility of related hype on Senti Biosciences is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.87. About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Senti Biosciences was at this time reported as 0.31. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.87. Senti Biosciences had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 18th of July 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Senti Biosciences to cross-verify your projections.Senti Biosciences Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Senti Biosciences' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Senti Biosciences' future price movements. Getting to know how Senti Biosciences' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Senti Biosciences may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KPTI | Karyopharm Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.10 | 0.07 | 8.02 | (5.76) | 18.05 | |
| XFOR | X4 Pharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.28 | (4.94) | 22.31 | |
| IPSC | Century Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.92 | 0.26 | 14.71 | (9.09) | 59.27 | |
| BRNS | Barinthus Biotherapeutics plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.71 | (5.56) | 15.87 | |
| COEP | Coeptis Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.91 | (6.83) | 31.89 | |
| CVM | CEL SCI Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 10.19 | (9.38) | 30.91 | |
| CUE | Cue Biopharma | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 11.11 | (12.50) | 50.98 | |
| ALGS | Aligos Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.28 | 0.07 | 11.50 | (8.20) | 28.43 | |
| GNTA | Genenta Science SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 7.87 | (13.33) | 33.85 | |
| MDCX | Medicus Pharma Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 5.93 | (8.93) | 21.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for Senti Biosciences
For every potential investor in Senti, whether a beginner or expert, Senti Biosciences' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Senti Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Senti. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Senti Biosciences' price trends.Senti Biosciences Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Senti Biosciences stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Senti Biosciences could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Senti Biosciences by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Senti Biosciences Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Senti Biosciences stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Senti Biosciences shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Senti Biosciences stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Senti Biosciences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 8088.39 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.17) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.9 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.89 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
Senti Biosciences Risk Indicators
The analysis of Senti Biosciences' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Senti Biosciences' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting senti stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.19 | |||
| Variance | 51.72 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Senti Biosciences
The number of cover stories for Senti Biosciences depends on current market conditions and Senti Biosciences' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Senti Biosciences is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Senti Biosciences' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Senti Biosciences Short Properties
Senti Biosciences' future price predictability will typically decrease when Senti Biosciences' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Senti Biosciences often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Senti Biosciences' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Senti Biosciences' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 48.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Senti Biosciences to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Senti Stock please use our How to Invest in Senti Biosciences guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is there potential for Biotechnology market expansion? Will Senti introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Senti Biosciences. If investors know Senti will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Senti Biosciences listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Senti Biosciences is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Senti that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Senti Biosciences' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Senti Biosciences' true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Senti Biosciences' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Senti Biosciences' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Senti Biosciences' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Senti Biosciences is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Senti Biosciences' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.