Scully Royalty Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| SRL Stock | USD 9.05 0.10 1.12% |
Scully Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Scully Royalty's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Scully Royalty's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Scully Royalty fundamentals over time.
The relative strength indicator of Scully Royalty's stock price is about 61. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Scully, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.77) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.026 |
Using Scully Royalty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Scully Royalty from the perspective of Scully Royalty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Scully Royalty using Scully Royalty's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Scully using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Scully Royalty's stock price.
Scully Royalty Implied Volatility | 1.63 |
Scully Royalty's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Scully Royalty stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Scully Royalty's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Scully Royalty stock will not fluctuate a lot when Scully Royalty's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Scully Royalty on the next trading day is expected to be 8.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.00. Scully Royalty after-hype prediction price | USD 9.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Scully Royalty to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Scully Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Scully Royalty's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Scully Royalty's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Scully Royalty stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Scully Royalty's open interest, investors have to compare it to Scully Royalty's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Scully Royalty is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Scully. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Scully Royalty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Scully price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Scully using various technical indicators. When you analyze Scully charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Scully Royalty Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Scully Royalty on the next trading day is expected to be 8.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51, mean absolute percentage error of 0.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Scully Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Scully Royalty's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Scully Royalty Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Scully Royalty | Scully Royalty Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Scully Royalty Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Scully Royalty's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Scully Royalty's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.62 and 14.27, respectively. We have considered Scully Royalty's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Scully Royalty stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Scully Royalty stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.0625 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5082 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0753 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 31.0016 |
Predictive Modules for Scully Royalty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scully Royalty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Scully Royalty After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Scully Royalty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Scully Royalty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Scully Royalty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Scully Royalty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Scully Royalty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Scully Royalty's historical news coverage. Scully Royalty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.24 and 14.90, respectively. We have considered Scully Royalty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Scully Royalty is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Scully Royalty is based on 3 months time horizon.
Scully Royalty Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Scully Royalty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Scully Royalty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Scully Royalty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.76 | 5.83 | 0.02 | 0.13 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.05 | 9.07 | 0.22 |
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Scully Royalty Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January Scully Royalty is traded for 9.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Scully is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 9.07 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.76%. The volatility of related hype on Scully Royalty is about 3369.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.18. The company reported the last year's revenue of 37.06 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (20.27 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 23.25 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Scully Royalty to cross-verify your projections.Scully Royalty Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Scully Royalty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Scully Royalty's future price movements. Getting to know how Scully Royalty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Scully Royalty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PROP | Prairie Operating Co | (0.02) | 9 per month | 3.76 | (0) | 8.28 | (6.83) | 21.34 | |
| ACOG | Alpha Cognition | (0.03) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.63 | (6.74) | 18.56 | |
| FGBI | First Guaranty Bancshares | (0.18) | 9 per month | 4.74 | 0.01 | 5.38 | (7.07) | 21.15 | |
| DOMH | Dominari Holdings | (0.05) | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 8.27 | (8.39) | 24.67 | |
| MAAS | Highest Performances Holdings | (0.35) | 3 per month | 3.59 | 0.17 | 8.26 | (6.17) | 20.85 | |
| XYF | X Financial Class | 1.76 | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 4.00 | (6.18) | 19.69 | |
| SIEB | Siebert Financial Corp | 0.51 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.72 | (6.23) | 22.99 | |
| AUBN | Auburn National Bancorporation | 0.10 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.68 | (4.38) | 17.69 | |
| ASPC | A SPAC III | (0.05) | 9 per month | 6.90 | 0.08 | 29.42 | (16.65) | 99.90 | |
| DTSQ | DT Cloud Star | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.82 | (0.03) | 1.50 | (1.39) | 6.38 |
Other Forecasting Options for Scully Royalty
For every potential investor in Scully, whether a beginner or expert, Scully Royalty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Scully Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Scully. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Scully Royalty's price trends.Scully Royalty Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Scully Royalty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Scully Royalty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Scully Royalty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Scully Royalty Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Scully Royalty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Scully Royalty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Scully Royalty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Scully Royalty entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Scully Royalty Risk Indicators
The analysis of Scully Royalty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Scully Royalty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting scully stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.72 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.75 | |||
| Variance | 33.01 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.81 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.67) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Scully Royalty
The number of cover stories for Scully Royalty depends on current market conditions and Scully Royalty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Scully Royalty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Scully Royalty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Scully Royalty Short Properties
Scully Royalty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Scully Royalty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Scully Royalty often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Scully Royalty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Scully Royalty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 42.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Scully Royalty to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Scully Stock please use our How to buy in Scully Stock guide.You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Investment Banking & Brokerage space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Scully Royalty. If investors know Scully will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Scully Royalty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.77) | Earnings Share (0.14) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.026 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Scully Royalty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Scully that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Scully Royalty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Scully Royalty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Scully Royalty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Scully Royalty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Scully Royalty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Scully Royalty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Scully Royalty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.