Southern Banc Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SRNN Stock | USD 11.29 0.67 6.31% |
Southern Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Southern Banc's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Southern Banc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Southern Banc from the perspective of Southern Banc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Southern Banc on the next trading day is expected to be 11.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.22. Southern Banc after-hype prediction price | USD 11.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Southern |
Southern Banc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Southern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Southern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Southern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Southern Banc Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Southern Banc on the next trading day is expected to be 11.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Southern Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Southern Banc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Southern Banc Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Southern Banc | Southern Banc Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Southern Banc Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Southern Banc's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Southern Banc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.82 and 12.76, respectively. We have considered Southern Banc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Southern Banc pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Southern Banc pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.7393 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.031 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0703 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0068 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.22 |
Predictive Modules for Southern Banc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southern Banc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Southern Banc After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Southern Banc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Southern Banc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Southern Banc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Southern Banc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Southern Banc's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Southern Banc's historical news coverage. Southern Banc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.83 and 12.75, respectively. We have considered Southern Banc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Southern Banc is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Southern Banc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Southern Banc Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Southern Banc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Southern Banc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Southern Banc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.47 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.29 | 11.29 | 0.00 |
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Southern Banc Hype Timeline
Southern Banc is at this time traded for 11.29. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.26. Southern is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Southern Banc is about 110.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.03. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.31. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Southern Banc last dividend was issued on the 25th of February 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southern Banc to cross-verify your projections.Southern Banc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Southern Banc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Southern Banc's future price movements. Getting to know how Southern Banc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Southern Banc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CAT | Caterpillar | (15.18) | 6 per month | 1.73 | 0.16 | 3.53 | (3.40) | 8.72 | |
| GSFP | Goldman Sachs | 0.13 | 4 per month | 0.33 | 0.15 | 1.27 | (1.10) | 3.10 | |
| PXGYF | PAX Global Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.92 | (6.15) | 14.79 | |
| SPSTY | Singapore Post Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.06 | 0.01 | 3.81 | (3.49) | 16.23 | |
| MKDW | MKDWELL Tech Ordinary | 0.24 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 7.64 | (10.92) | 36.75 | |
| SPSTF | Singapore Post Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.67 | |
| CAPR | Capricor Therapeutics | 0.89 | 11 per month | 4.31 | 0.12 | 11.51 | (8.29) | 386.29 | |
| LPSN | LivePerson | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 5.56 | (7.19) | 25.36 | |
| EVTC | Evertec | 0.61 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.94 | (3.14) | 11.68 | |
| SKLTY | Seek Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 2.42 | (3.75) | 10.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for Southern Banc
For every potential investor in Southern, whether a beginner or expert, Southern Banc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Southern Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Southern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Southern Banc's price trends.Southern Banc Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Southern Banc pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Southern Banc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Southern Banc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Southern Banc Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Southern Banc pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Southern Banc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Southern Banc pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Southern Banc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.29 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.29 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.34 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.67 |
Southern Banc Risk Indicators
The analysis of Southern Banc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Southern Banc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting southern pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5682 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Variance | 1.98 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Southern Banc
The number of cover stories for Southern Banc depends on current market conditions and Southern Banc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Southern Banc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Southern Banc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Southern Pink Sheet
Southern Banc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Southern Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Southern with respect to the benefits of owning Southern Banc security.