Sun Communities Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SUI Stock | USD 125.69 2.01 1.63% |
Sun Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Sun Communities' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 6th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Sun Communities' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Sun Communities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sun Communities from the perspective of Sun Communities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sun Communities on the next trading day is expected to be 124.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.19. Sun Communities after-hype prediction price | USD 124.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sun Communities to cross-verify your projections. Sun Communities Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sun price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sun using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sun charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sun Communities Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sun Communities on the next trading day is expected to be 124.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.21, mean absolute percentage error of 2.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sun Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sun Communities' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sun Communities Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sun Communities | Sun Communities Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Sun Communities Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sun Communities' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sun Communities' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 123.44 and 125.93, respectively. We have considered Sun Communities' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sun Communities stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sun Communities stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.3323 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0287 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2065 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0097 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 71.185 |
Predictive Modules for Sun Communities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sun Communities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sun Communities' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sun Communities After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sun Communities at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sun Communities or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sun Communities, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sun Communities Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sun Communities' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sun Communities' historical news coverage. Sun Communities' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 122.76 and 125.24, respectively. We have considered Sun Communities' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sun Communities is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sun Communities is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sun Communities Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sun Communities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sun Communities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sun Communities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
125.69 | 124.00 | 0.02 |
|
Sun Communities Hype Timeline
On the 6th of February Sun Communities is traded for 125.69. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sun is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 124.0 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Sun Communities is about 1322.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 125.69. The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.2 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 101.4 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.53 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sun Communities to cross-verify your projections.Sun Communities Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sun Communities' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sun Communities' future price movements. Getting to know how Sun Communities' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sun Communities may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLPR | Clipper Realty | (0.02) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.55 | (2.87) | 13.64 | |
| UDR | UDR Inc | (0.39) | 10 per month | 0.89 | 0.08 | 2.60 | (1.54) | 4.65 | |
| UMH | UMH Properties | 0.39 | 9 per month | 0.97 | 0.05 | 2.31 | (2.16) | 4.82 | |
| AMH | American Homes 4 | 0.12 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.00 | (2.05) | 7.05 | |
| ELS | Equity Lifestyle Properties | (0.08) | 10 per month | 0.78 | 0.05 | 2.21 | (1.56) | 4.37 | |
| NXRT | Nexpoint Residential Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.80 | (2.29) | 8.15 | |
| EQR | Equity Residential | 1.18 | 9 per month | 1.11 | 0.04 | 2.09 | (1.79) | 6.31 | |
| MAA | Mid America Apartment Communities | (0.60) | 11 per month | 1.10 | (0.01) | 2.09 | (1.91) | 6.14 | |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust | (0.50) | 8 per month | 1.18 | (0.04) | 2.14 | (2.16) | 5.23 | |
| AVB | AvalonBay Communities | 1.28 | 12 per month | 1.35 | (0.06) | 2.05 | (2.28) | 7.11 | |
| CPT | Camden Property Trust | (2.42) | 12 per month | 1.11 | 0.02 | 1.67 | (1.97) | 5.59 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sun Communities
For every potential investor in Sun, whether a beginner or expert, Sun Communities' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sun Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sun. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sun Communities' price trends.Sun Communities Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sun Communities stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sun Communities could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sun Communities by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sun Communities Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sun Communities stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sun Communities shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sun Communities stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sun Communities entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 38031.58 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5877 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 124.41 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 124.84 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.28 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 2.01 |
Sun Communities Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sun Communities' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sun Communities' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sun stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9585 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Variance | 1.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.88 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.79 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sun Communities
The number of cover stories for Sun Communities depends on current market conditions and Sun Communities' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sun Communities is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sun Communities' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Sun Communities Short Properties
Sun Communities' future price predictability will typically decrease when Sun Communities' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sun Communities often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sun Communities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sun Communities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 127.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 47.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sun Communities to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Sun Stock please use our How to Invest in Sun Communities guide.You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is there potential for Single-Family Residential REITs market expansion? Will Sun introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sun Communities. If investors know Sun will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Sun Communities listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Sun Communities's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Sun's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Sun Communities' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Sun Communities' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sun Communities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sun Communities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sun Communities' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.