Sun Communities Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| SUI Stock | USD 126.46 0.89 0.71% |
Sun Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sun Communities' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Sun Communities' share price is at 54. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sun Communities, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.97) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5436 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.0764 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.6913 | Wall Street Target Price 139.7059 |
Using Sun Communities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sun Communities from the perspective of Sun Communities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sun Communities using Sun Communities' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sun using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sun Communities' stock price.
Sun Communities Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Sun Communities' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Sun. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Sun Communities stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 125.1661 | Short Percent 0.0278 | Short Ratio 2.72 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 125.3894 |
Sun Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sun Communities on the next trading day is expected to be 126.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.30.Sun Communities Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sun Communities' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sun. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sun can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sun Communities. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sun Communities' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sun Communities.
Sun Communities Implied Volatility | 0.38 |
Sun Communities' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sun Communities stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sun Communities' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sun Communities stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sun Communities' options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sun Communities on the next trading day is expected to be 126.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.30. Sun Communities after-hype prediction price | USD 126.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sun Communities to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sun contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sun Communities will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Sun Communities trading at USD 126.46, that is roughly USD 0.03 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sun Communities' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sun Communities options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Sun Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sun Communities' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sun Communities' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sun Communities stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sun Communities' open interest, investors have to compare it to Sun Communities' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sun Communities is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sun. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sun Communities Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sun price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sun using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sun charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sun Communities Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sun Communities on the next trading day is expected to be 126.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26, mean absolute percentage error of 3.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sun Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sun Communities' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sun Communities Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sun Communities | Sun Communities Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sun Communities Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sun Communities' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sun Communities' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 125.36 and 127.82, respectively. We have considered Sun Communities' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sun Communities stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sun Communities stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2526 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2593 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0101 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 74.2963 |
Predictive Modules for Sun Communities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sun Communities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sun Communities' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sun Communities After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sun Communities at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sun Communities or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sun Communities, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sun Communities Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sun Communities' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sun Communities' historical news coverage. Sun Communities' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 125.22 and 127.70, respectively. We have considered Sun Communities' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sun Communities is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sun Communities is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sun Communities Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sun Communities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sun Communities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sun Communities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.23 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
126.46 | 126.46 | 0.00 |
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Sun Communities Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January Sun Communities is traded for 126.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Sun is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sun Communities is about 353.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 126.48. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Sun Communities was at this time reported as 56.51. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.78. Sun Communities last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. The entity had 5:1 split on the 10th of May 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sun Communities to cross-verify your projections.Sun Communities Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sun Communities' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sun Communities' future price movements. Getting to know how Sun Communities' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sun Communities may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLPR | Clipper Realty | (0.1) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.55 | (2.87) | 13.64 | |
| UDR | UDR Inc | (0.1) | 10 per month | 1.18 | 0.01 | 2.07 | (1.54) | 5.11 | |
| UMH | UMH Properties | (0.13) | 16 per month | 0.85 | 0.1 | 2.21 | (1.69) | 4.82 | |
| AMH | American Homes 4 | (0.09) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.00 | (2.06) | 7.05 | |
| ELS | Equity Lifestyle Properties | 0.71 | 10 per month | 1.12 | (0.03) | 2.11 | (1.69) | 4.43 | |
| NXRT | Nexpoint Residential Trust | (0.23) | 5 per month | 1.61 | (0.02) | 2.80 | (2.90) | 8.15 | |
| EQR | Equity Residential | 0.37 | 15 per month | 1.41 | (0.05) | 2.06 | (1.79) | 6.31 | |
| MAA | Mid America Apartment Communities | 0.38 | 22 per month | 1.09 | (0.02) | 2.05 | (1.91) | 5.24 | |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust | 1.88 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.87 | (2.31) | 5.05 | |
| AVB | AvalonBay Communities | 3.80 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.92 | (2.28) | 5.43 | |
| CPT | Camden Property Trust | (2.66) | 8 per month | 1.34 | 0.01 | 1.81 | (2.31) | 5.59 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sun Communities
For every potential investor in Sun, whether a beginner or expert, Sun Communities' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sun Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sun. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sun Communities' price trends.Sun Communities Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sun Communities stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sun Communities could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sun Communities by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sun Communities Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sun Communities stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sun Communities shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sun Communities stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sun Communities entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sun Communities Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sun Communities' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sun Communities' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sun stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9283 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Variance | 1.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.59 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.49 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.92) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sun Communities
The number of cover stories for Sun Communities depends on current market conditions and Sun Communities' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sun Communities is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sun Communities' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sun Communities Short Properties
Sun Communities' future price predictability will typically decrease when Sun Communities' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sun Communities often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sun Communities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sun Communities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 127.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 47.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sun Communities to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Sun Stock please use our How to Invest in Sun Communities guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Single-Family Residential REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sun Communities. If investors know Sun will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sun Communities listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.97) | Dividend Share 3.96 | Earnings Share (2.78) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.029 |
The market value of Sun Communities is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sun that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sun Communities' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sun Communities' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sun Communities' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sun Communities' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sun Communities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sun Communities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sun Communities' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.