Suncast Solar Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SUNC Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Suncast Solar Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Suncast Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Suncast Solar stock prices and determine the direction of Suncast Solar Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Suncast Solar's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Suncast Solar's Total Current Liabilities is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Cash is expected to grow to about 81.1 K, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 28.5 K.

Suncast Solar Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Suncast Solar's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
60 K
Current Value
81.1 K
Quarterly Volatility
18.6 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Suncast Solar is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Suncast Solar Energy value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Suncast Solar Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Suncast Solar Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Suncast Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Suncast Solar's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Suncast Solar Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Suncast SolarSuncast Solar Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Suncast Solar Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Suncast Solar's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Suncast Solar's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Suncast Solar's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Suncast Solar stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Suncast Solar stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Suncast Solar Energy. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Suncast Solar. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Suncast Solar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Suncast Solar Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Suncast Solar

For every potential investor in Suncast, whether a beginner or expert, Suncast Solar's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Suncast Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Suncast. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Suncast Solar's price trends.

Suncast Solar Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Suncast Solar stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Suncast Solar could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Suncast Solar by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Suncast Solar Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Suncast Solar's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Suncast Solar's current price.

Suncast Solar Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Suncast Solar stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Suncast Solar shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Suncast Solar stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Suncast Solar Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Suncast Solar Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Suncast Solar's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Suncast Solar Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Suncast Solar Energy Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Suncast Solar to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Suncast Solar. If investors know Suncast will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Suncast Solar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.94)
Revenue Per Share
0.035
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.29)
Return On Assets
(0.70)
The market value of Suncast Solar Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Suncast that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Suncast Solar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Suncast Solar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Suncast Solar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Suncast Solar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Suncast Solar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Suncast Solar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Suncast Solar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.