SunocoCorp LLC Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

SUNC Stock  USD 53.47  0.15  0.28%   
SunocoCorp Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SunocoCorp LLC stock prices and determine the direction of SunocoCorp LLC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of SunocoCorp LLC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of SunocoCorp LLC's share price is at 56. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SunocoCorp LLC, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SunocoCorp LLC's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SunocoCorp LLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SunocoCorp LLC's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.2706
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.6696
Wall Street Target Price
64
Using SunocoCorp LLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SunocoCorp LLC from the perspective of SunocoCorp LLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

SunocoCorp Relative Strength Index

The Simple Regression forecasted value of SunocoCorp LLC on the next trading day is expected to be 53.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 85.05.

SunocoCorp LLC Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to SunocoCorp LLC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SunocoCorp. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SunocoCorp can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SunocoCorp LLC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SunocoCorp LLC's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SunocoCorp LLC.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of SunocoCorp LLC on the next trading day is expected to be 53.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 85.05.

SunocoCorp LLC after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 53.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SunocoCorp LLC to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade SunocoCorp Stock refer to our How to Trade SunocoCorp Stock guide.

SunocoCorp LLC Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SunocoCorp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SunocoCorp using various technical indicators. When you analyze SunocoCorp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through SunocoCorp LLC price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

SunocoCorp LLC Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of SunocoCorp LLC on the next trading day is expected to be 53.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.39, mean absolute percentage error of 2.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 85.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SunocoCorp Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SunocoCorp LLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SunocoCorp LLC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SunocoCorp LLC  SunocoCorp LLC Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

SunocoCorp LLC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SunocoCorp LLC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SunocoCorp LLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 52.16 and 54.72, respectively. We have considered SunocoCorp LLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
53.47
53.44
Expected Value
54.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SunocoCorp LLC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SunocoCorp LLC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.0616
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.3943
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0273
SAESum of the absolute errors85.0517
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as SunocoCorp LLC historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for SunocoCorp LLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SunocoCorp LLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.4153.6954.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.8144.0958.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
49.5052.9656.42
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.461.672.69
Details

SunocoCorp LLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SunocoCorp LLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SunocoCorp LLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SunocoCorp LLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SunocoCorp LLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SunocoCorp LLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SunocoCorp LLC's historical news coverage. SunocoCorp LLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 52.41 and 54.97, respectively. We have considered SunocoCorp LLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
53.47
53.69
After-hype Price
54.97
Upside
SunocoCorp LLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SunocoCorp LLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

SunocoCorp LLC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SunocoCorp LLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SunocoCorp LLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SunocoCorp LLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
1.28
  0.07 
 0.00  
3 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
53.47
53.69
0.13 
228.57  
Notes

SunocoCorp LLC Hype Timeline

SunocoCorp LLC is at this time traded for 53.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. SunocoCorp is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 53.69 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on SunocoCorp LLC is about 4000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.47. Net Income was 86.78 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SunocoCorp LLC to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade SunocoCorp Stock refer to our How to Trade SunocoCorp Stock guide.

SunocoCorp LLC Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SunocoCorp LLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SunocoCorp LLC's future price movements. Getting to know how SunocoCorp LLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SunocoCorp LLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ALAAltaGas 0.00 7 per month 1.03  0.01  1.69 (1.80) 5.54 
ATRLAtkinsRealis Group 0.81 2 per month 1.90  0.02  3.35 (3.24) 8.64 
AWA W FOOD 0.02 7 per month 1.08 (0.03) 1.99 (1.89) 6.49 
GEIGibson Energy(0.19)9 per month 1.33  0.14  2.19 (1.92) 5.70 
KEYKeyera Corp(0.62)7 per month 1.32  0.11  1.87 (1.91) 7.45 
KNTKKinetik Holdings 0.14 10 per month 2.54  0.05  3.18 (3.31) 12.65 
PPLPembina Pipeline Corp(0.04)8 per month 1.33  0.08  1.62 (1.55) 6.75 
SOBOSouth Bow 0.10 8 per month 1.31  0.08  2.27 (2.41) 8.35 
SOBOSouth Bow(0.51)6 per month 1.21  0.08  1.65 (1.99) 8.27 
SPBSuperior Plus Corp(0.03)5 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.66 (1.99) 21.98 

Other Forecasting Options for SunocoCorp LLC

For every potential investor in SunocoCorp, whether a beginner or expert, SunocoCorp LLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SunocoCorp Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SunocoCorp. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SunocoCorp LLC's price trends.

SunocoCorp LLC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SunocoCorp LLC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SunocoCorp LLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SunocoCorp LLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SunocoCorp LLC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SunocoCorp LLC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SunocoCorp LLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SunocoCorp LLC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SunocoCorp LLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SunocoCorp LLC Risk Indicators

The analysis of SunocoCorp LLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SunocoCorp LLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sunococorp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation742214.64
Standard Deviation3061273.06
Variance9.37139272562062E12
Downside Variance1.09
Semi Variance(382,703)
Expected Short fall(921,109)
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for SunocoCorp LLC

The number of cover stories for SunocoCorp LLC depends on current market conditions and SunocoCorp LLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SunocoCorp LLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SunocoCorp LLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

SunocoCorp LLC Short Properties

SunocoCorp LLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when SunocoCorp LLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SunocoCorp LLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SunocoCorp LLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SunocoCorp LLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43 M
Dividends Paid93.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments422 K
When determining whether SunocoCorp LLC offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of SunocoCorp LLC's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Sunococorp Llc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Sunococorp Llc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SunocoCorp LLC to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade SunocoCorp Stock refer to our How to Trade SunocoCorp Stock guide.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Will Oil & Gas Midstream sector continue expanding? Could SunocoCorp diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SunocoCorp LLC. If investors know SunocoCorp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every SunocoCorp LLC data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding SunocoCorp LLC requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects SunocoCorp's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what SunocoCorp LLC's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push SunocoCorp LLC's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SunocoCorp LLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SunocoCorp LLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, SunocoCorp LLC's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.