Skandinaviska Enskilda Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SVKEF Stock | USD 22.53 0.82 3.78% |
Skandinaviska Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Skandinaviska Enskilda's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Skandinaviska Enskilda's share price is above 70 as of 27th of January 2026. This usually implies that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Skandinaviska, making its price go up or down. Momentum 77
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Skandinaviska Enskilda hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken from the perspective of Skandinaviska Enskilda response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken on the next trading day is expected to be 22.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.97. Skandinaviska Enskilda after-hype prediction price | USD 22.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Skandinaviska |
Skandinaviska Enskilda Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Skandinaviska price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Skandinaviska using various technical indicators. When you analyze Skandinaviska charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Skandinaviska Enskilda Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken on the next trading day is expected to be 22.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.97.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Skandinaviska Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Skandinaviska Enskilda's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Skandinaviska Enskilda Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Skandinaviska Enskilda | Skandinaviska Enskilda Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Skandinaviska Enskilda Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Skandinaviska Enskilda's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Skandinaviska Enskilda's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.06 and 24.02, respectively. We have considered Skandinaviska Enskilda's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Skandinaviska Enskilda pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Skandinaviska Enskilda pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.5384 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2254 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0112 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.9726 |
Predictive Modules for Skandinaviska Enskilda
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Skandinaviska Enskilda. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Skandinaviska Enskilda's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Skandinaviska Enskilda After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Skandinaviska Enskilda at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Skandinaviska Enskilda or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Skandinaviska Enskilda, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Skandinaviska Enskilda Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Skandinaviska Enskilda's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Skandinaviska Enskilda's historical news coverage. Skandinaviska Enskilda's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.05 and 24.01, respectively. We have considered Skandinaviska Enskilda's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Skandinaviska Enskilda is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Skandinaviska Enskilda is based on 3 months time horizon.
Skandinaviska Enskilda Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Skandinaviska Enskilda is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Skandinaviska Enskilda backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Skandinaviska Enskilda, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.48 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
22.53 | 22.53 | 0.00 |
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Skandinaviska Enskilda Hype Timeline
Skandinaviska Enskilda is at this time traded for 22.53. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Skandinaviska is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Skandinaviska Enskilda is about 1850.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.51. About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.23. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Skandinaviska Enskilda has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.41. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of April 2023. The firm had 2704:1395 split on the 20th of March 2009. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Skandinaviska Enskilda to cross-verify your projections.Skandinaviska Enskilda Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Skandinaviska Enskilda's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Skandinaviska Enskilda's future price movements. Getting to know how Skandinaviska Enskilda's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Skandinaviska Enskilda may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SWDBY | Swedbank AB | (0.16) | 4 per month | 0.66 | 0.26 | 2.27 | (1.59) | 4.54 | |
| DNSKF | Danske Bank AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.42 | 0.00 | 11.39 | |
| SWDBF | Swedbank AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | 0.16 | 4.00 | (3.02) | 9.33 | |
| DNKEY | Danske Bank AS | (0.16) | 4 per month | 0.88 | 0.17 | 2.16 | (1.72) | 5.57 | |
| BKRKY | Bank Rakyat | (0.16) | 16 per month | 1.21 | 0 | 2.50 | (1.96) | 6.48 | |
| BKRKF | PT Bank Rakyat | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.21 | (0.01) | 5.26 | (8.70) | 47.81 | |
| DNBBY | DNB Bank ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.33 | 0.01 | 1.73 | (1.55) | 5.04 | |
| JPPTY | JAPAN POST BANK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.66 | 0.09 | 9.02 | (7.15) | 62.34 | |
| DNBBF | DNB Bank ASA | (0.16) | 16 per month | 2.65 | (0.01) | 4.50 | (4.84) | 10.57 | |
| HSNGF | Hang Seng Bank | (0.16) | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.78 |
Other Forecasting Options for Skandinaviska Enskilda
For every potential investor in Skandinaviska, whether a beginner or expert, Skandinaviska Enskilda's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Skandinaviska Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Skandinaviska. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Skandinaviska Enskilda's price trends.Skandinaviska Enskilda Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Skandinaviska Enskilda pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Skandinaviska Enskilda could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Skandinaviska Enskilda by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Skandinaviska Enskilda Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Skandinaviska Enskilda pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Skandinaviska Enskilda shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Skandinaviska Enskilda pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 22.53 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 22.53 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.41 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.82 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 77.8 |
Skandinaviska Enskilda Risk Indicators
The analysis of Skandinaviska Enskilda's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Skandinaviska Enskilda's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting skandinaviska pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7199 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Variance | 2.16 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Skandinaviska Enskilda
The number of cover stories for Skandinaviska Enskilda depends on current market conditions and Skandinaviska Enskilda's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Skandinaviska Enskilda is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Skandinaviska Enskilda's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Skandinaviska Pink Sheet
Skandinaviska Enskilda financial ratios help investors to determine whether Skandinaviska Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Skandinaviska with respect to the benefits of owning Skandinaviska Enskilda security.