Smith Wesson Stock Forward View - Relative Strength Index
| SWBI Stock | USD 11.41 0.29 2.61% |
Smith Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Smith Wesson's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Smith Wesson's stock price is under 62. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 4th of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Smith, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.25 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.28 | Wall Street Target Price 13.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.02 |
Using Smith Wesson hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Smith Wesson Brands from the perspective of Smith Wesson response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Smith Wesson using Smith Wesson's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Smith using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Smith Wesson's stock price.
Smith Wesson Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Smith Wesson's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Smith. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Smith Wesson stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 9.3743 | Short Percent 0.0528 | Short Ratio 4.23 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.4 M | 50 Day MA 10.1044 |
Smith Relative Strength Index
Smith Wesson Brands Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Smith Wesson's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Smith. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Smith can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Smith Wesson Brands. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Smith Wesson's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Smith Wesson.
Smith Wesson Implied Volatility | 0.77 |
Smith Wesson's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Smith Wesson Brands stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Smith Wesson's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Smith Wesson stock will not fluctuate a lot when Smith Wesson's options are near their expiration.
Smith Wesson after-hype prediction price | USD 11.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Smith Wesson to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Smith contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Smith Wesson Brands will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0481% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Smith Wesson trading at USD 11.41, that is roughly USD 0.005491 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Smith Wesson's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Smith Wesson Brands options at the current volatility level of 0.77%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Smith Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Smith Wesson's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Smith Wesson's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Smith Wesson stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Smith Wesson's open interest, investors have to compare it to Smith Wesson's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Smith Wesson is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Smith. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Smith Wesson Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Smith price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Smith using various technical indicators. When you analyze Smith charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Relative Strength Index | Relative Strength Index | Trend |
| 62.27 | 62.27 |
| Check Smith Wesson Volatility | Backtest Smith Wesson | Information Ratio |
Smith Wesson Trading Date Momentum
| On February 03 2026 Smith Wesson Brands was traded for 11.41 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 11.44 and the lowest listed price was 11.09 . The trading volume for the day was 512.6 K. The trading history from February 3, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 2.63% . |
| Compare Smith Wesson to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Smith Wesson
For every potential investor in Smith, whether a beginner or expert, Smith Wesson's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Smith Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Smith. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Smith Wesson's price trends.Smith Wesson Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Smith Wesson stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Smith Wesson could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Smith Wesson by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Smith Wesson Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Smith Wesson stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Smith Wesson shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Smith Wesson stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Smith Wesson Brands entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Smith Wesson Risk Indicators
The analysis of Smith Wesson's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Smith Wesson's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting smith stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.83 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.51 | |||
| Variance | 12.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.57 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Smith Wesson
The number of cover stories for Smith Wesson depends on current market conditions and Smith Wesson's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Smith Wesson is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Smith Wesson's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Smith Wesson Short Properties
Smith Wesson's future price predictability will typically decrease when Smith Wesson's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Smith Wesson Brands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Smith Wesson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smith Wesson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Smith Wesson to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is there potential for Leisure Products market expansion? Will Smith introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Smith Wesson. If investors know Smith will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Smith Wesson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | Dividend Share 0.52 | Earnings Share 0.21 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
Smith Wesson Brands's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Smith's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Smith Wesson's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Smith Wesson's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Smith Wesson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Smith Wesson is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Smith Wesson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.