Skyworks Solutions Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| SWKS Stock | USD 58.96 0.71 1.19% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Skyworks Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 58.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 155.93. Skyworks Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Skyworks Solutions' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.545 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.275 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.4342 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.0628 | Wall Street Target Price 78.4 |
Using Skyworks Solutions hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Skyworks Solutions from the perspective of Skyworks Solutions response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Skyworks Solutions using Skyworks Solutions' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Skyworks using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Skyworks Solutions' stock price.
Skyworks Solutions Short Interest
An investor who is long Skyworks Solutions may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Skyworks Solutions and may potentially protect profits, hedge Skyworks Solutions with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 69.9241 | Short Percent 0.1276 | Short Ratio 6.03 | Shares Short Prior Month 13 M | 50 Day MA 64.344 |
Skyworks Solutions Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Skyworks Solutions' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Skyworks. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Skyworks can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Skyworks Solutions. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Skyworks Solutions Implied Volatility | 0.7 |
Skyworks Solutions' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Skyworks Solutions stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Skyworks Solutions' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Skyworks Solutions stock will not fluctuate a lot when Skyworks Solutions' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Skyworks Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 58.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 155.93. Skyworks Solutions after-hype prediction price | USD 59.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Skyworks Solutions to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Skyworks contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Skyworks Solutions will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0438% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Skyworks Solutions trading at USD 58.96, that is roughly USD 0.0258 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Skyworks Solutions' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Skyworks Solutions options at the current volatility level of 0.7%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Skyworks Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Skyworks Solutions' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Skyworks Solutions' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Skyworks Solutions stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Skyworks Solutions' open interest, investors have to compare it to Skyworks Solutions' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Skyworks Solutions is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Skyworks. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Skyworks Solutions Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Skyworks price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Skyworks using various technical indicators. When you analyze Skyworks charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Skyworks Solutions Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Skyworks Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 58.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.52, mean absolute percentage error of 10.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 155.93.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Skyworks Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Skyworks Solutions' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Skyworks Solutions Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Skyworks Solutions | Skyworks Solutions Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Skyworks Solutions Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Skyworks Solutions' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Skyworks Solutions' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 56.08 and 60.74, respectively. We have considered Skyworks Solutions' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Skyworks Solutions stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Skyworks Solutions stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.2591 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.515 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0379 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 155.9307 |
Predictive Modules for Skyworks Solutions
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Skyworks Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Skyworks Solutions After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Skyworks Solutions at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Skyworks Solutions or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Skyworks Solutions, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Skyworks Solutions Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Skyworks Solutions' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Skyworks Solutions' historical news coverage. Skyworks Solutions' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 57.28 and 61.94, respectively. We have considered Skyworks Solutions' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Skyworks Solutions is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Skyworks Solutions is based on 3 months time horizon.
Skyworks Solutions Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Skyworks Solutions is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Skyworks Solutions backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Skyworks Solutions, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.33 | 0.65 | 0.43 | 14 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 14 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
58.96 | 59.61 | 1.10 |
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Skyworks Solutions Hype Timeline
Skyworks Solutions is at this time traded for 58.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.65, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.43. Skyworks is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 59.61 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 132.39%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 1.1%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Skyworks Solutions is about 199.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.39. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.09 B. Net Income was 477.1 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.68 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 14 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Skyworks Solutions to cross-verify your projections.Skyworks Solutions Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Skyworks Solutions' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Skyworks Solutions' future price movements. Getting to know how Skyworks Solutions' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Skyworks Solutions may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RMBS | Rambus Inc | 3.86 | 11 per month | 4.16 | 0.06 | 7.77 | (7.58) | 19.38 | |
| MTSI | MACOM Technology Solutions | 0.37 | 2 per month | 2.12 | 0.20 | 4.93 | (4.20) | 18.11 | |
| AMKR | Amkor Technology | 0.37 | 10 per month | 3.29 | 0.15 | 8.71 | (6.31) | 25.50 | |
| NVMI | Nova | 1.76 | 11 per month | 3.01 | 0.14 | 5.21 | (5.42) | 13.38 | |
| TSEM | Tower Semiconductor | 1.76 | 8 per month | 2.67 | 0.22 | 5.57 | (4.00) | 24.44 | |
| JKHY | Jack Henry Associates | (0.11) | 23 per month | 0.85 | 0.16 | 2.26 | (1.90) | 7.13 | |
| ENTG | Entegris | 1.78 | 10 per month | 2.95 | 0.09 | 6.73 | (4.46) | 11.66 | |
| LSCC | Lattice Semiconductor | 0.38 | 10 per month | 2.77 | 0.08 | 5.21 | (3.82) | 17.21 | |
| AKAM | Akamai Technologies | 0.91 | 7 per month | 1.64 | 0.12 | 4.01 | (3.43) | 18.87 | |
| GTM | ZoomInfo Technologies | 0.61 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.11 | (4.63) | 16.16 |
Other Forecasting Options for Skyworks Solutions
For every potential investor in Skyworks, whether a beginner or expert, Skyworks Solutions' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Skyworks Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Skyworks. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Skyworks Solutions' price trends.Skyworks Solutions Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Skyworks Solutions stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Skyworks Solutions could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Skyworks Solutions by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Skyworks Solutions Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Skyworks Solutions stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Skyworks Solutions shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Skyworks Solutions stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Skyworks Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 133364.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.45) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 58.94 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 58.94 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.33) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.71) |
Skyworks Solutions Risk Indicators
The analysis of Skyworks Solutions' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Skyworks Solutions' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting skyworks stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.33 | |||
| Variance | 5.43 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Skyworks Solutions
The number of cover stories for Skyworks Solutions depends on current market conditions and Skyworks Solutions' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Skyworks Solutions is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Skyworks Solutions' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Skyworks Solutions Short Properties
Skyworks Solutions' future price predictability will typically decrease when Skyworks Solutions' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Skyworks Solutions often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Skyworks Solutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Skyworks Solutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 155.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Additional Tools for Skyworks Stock Analysis
When running Skyworks Solutions' price analysis, check to measure Skyworks Solutions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Skyworks Solutions is operating at the current time. Most of Skyworks Solutions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Skyworks Solutions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Skyworks Solutions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Skyworks Solutions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.