STRYKER Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

SYK Stock  EUR 364.80  7.40  1.99%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of STRYKER on the next trading day is expected to be 378.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 258.63. STRYKER Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast STRYKER stock prices and determine the direction of STRYKER's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of STRYKER's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
STRYKER polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for STRYKER as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

STRYKER Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of STRYKER on the next trading day is expected to be 378.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.24, mean absolute percentage error of 26.57, and the sum of the absolute errors of 258.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict STRYKER Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that STRYKER's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

STRYKER Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest STRYKERSTRYKER Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

STRYKER Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting STRYKER's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. STRYKER's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 377.41 and 380.01, respectively. We have considered STRYKER's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
364.80
377.41
Downside
378.71
Expected Value
380.01
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of STRYKER stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent STRYKER stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.3903
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.2399
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0126
SAESum of the absolute errors258.6348
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the STRYKER historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for STRYKER

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STRYKER. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
363.50364.80366.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
352.63353.93401.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
360.29367.27374.24
Details

Other Forecasting Options for STRYKER

For every potential investor in STRYKER, whether a beginner or expert, STRYKER's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. STRYKER Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in STRYKER. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying STRYKER's price trends.

STRYKER Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with STRYKER stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of STRYKER could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing STRYKER by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

STRYKER Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of STRYKER's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of STRYKER's current price.

STRYKER Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how STRYKER stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading STRYKER shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying STRYKER stock market strength indicators, traders can identify STRYKER entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

STRYKER Risk Indicators

The analysis of STRYKER's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in STRYKER's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stryker stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in STRYKER Stock

When determining whether STRYKER is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if STRYKER Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Stryker Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Stryker Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of STRYKER to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade STRYKER Stock refer to our How to Trade STRYKER Stock guide.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Please note, there is a significant difference between STRYKER's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if STRYKER is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, STRYKER's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.