TuanChe ADR Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| TC Stock | USD 10.02 0.08 0.79% |
TuanChe Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TuanChe ADR stock prices and determine the direction of TuanChe ADR's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TuanChe ADR's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of TuanChe ADR's share price is approaching 43. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TuanChe ADR, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 89.8 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.39) |
Using TuanChe ADR hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TuanChe ADR from the perspective of TuanChe ADR response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
TuanChe Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TuanChe ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 10.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.38.TuanChe ADR Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to TuanChe ADR's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TuanChe. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TuanChe can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TuanChe ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of TuanChe ADR's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about TuanChe ADR.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TuanChe ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 10.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.38. TuanChe ADR after-hype prediction price | USD 10.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TuanChe ADR to cross-verify your projections. TuanChe ADR Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TuanChe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TuanChe using various technical indicators. When you analyze TuanChe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TuanChe ADR Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TuanChe ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 10.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TuanChe Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TuanChe ADR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TuanChe ADR Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TuanChe ADR | TuanChe ADR Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
TuanChe ADR Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TuanChe ADR's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TuanChe ADR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.36 and 15.70, respectively. We have considered TuanChe ADR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TuanChe ADR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TuanChe ADR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0143 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4641 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.038 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.3819 |
Predictive Modules for TuanChe ADR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TuanChe ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TuanChe ADR's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
TuanChe ADR After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TuanChe ADR at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TuanChe ADR or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TuanChe ADR, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TuanChe ADR Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TuanChe ADR's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TuanChe ADR's historical news coverage. TuanChe ADR's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.00 and 16.44, respectively. We have considered TuanChe ADR's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TuanChe ADR is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TuanChe ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
TuanChe ADR Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TuanChe ADR is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TuanChe ADR backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TuanChe ADR, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.54 | 5.67 | 0.62 | 0.08 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.02 | 10.72 | 6.14 |
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TuanChe ADR Hype Timeline
As of January 26, 2026 TuanChe ADR is listed for 10.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.62, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. TuanChe is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.72 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 6.14%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.54%. The volatility of related hype on TuanChe ADR is about 3831.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.10. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TuanChe ADR to cross-verify your projections.TuanChe ADR Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TuanChe ADR's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TuanChe ADR's future price movements. Getting to know how TuanChe ADR's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TuanChe ADR may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MNY | MoneyHero Limited Class | 0.13 | 8 per month | 4.27 | 0.03 | 9.85 | (5.76) | 39.95 | |
| ZDGE | Zedge Inc | 0.06 | 11 per month | 6.06 | 0.03 | 7.89 | (8.01) | 31.44 | |
| PODC | Courtside Group Common | (0.28) | 10 per month | 4.42 | 0.13 | 10.59 | (8.30) | 24.81 | |
| SCOR | Comscore | 0.77 | 9 per month | 2.97 | 0.06 | 6.86 | (5.28) | 21.93 | |
| BODI | The Beachbody Company | 0.89 | 10 per month | 4.35 | 0.18 | 16.28 | (7.03) | 31.37 | |
| SDM | Smart Digital Group | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RDI | Reading International | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.17 | (4.51) | 14.05 | |
| INUV | Inuvo Inc | (0.12) | 8 per month | 3.99 | (0.01) | 8.30 | (7.34) | 33.41 | |
| ABLV | Able View Global | 0.03 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.96 | (10.81) | 54.31 | |
| TZUP | TZUP Old | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 11.03 | (9.80) | 29.93 |
Other Forecasting Options for TuanChe ADR
For every potential investor in TuanChe, whether a beginner or expert, TuanChe ADR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TuanChe Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TuanChe. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TuanChe ADR's price trends.TuanChe ADR Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TuanChe ADR stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TuanChe ADR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TuanChe ADR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TuanChe ADR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TuanChe ADR stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TuanChe ADR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TuanChe ADR stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TuanChe ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.02 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.02 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.08) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 43.98 |
TuanChe ADR Risk Indicators
The analysis of TuanChe ADR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TuanChe ADR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tuanche stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.7 | |||
| Variance | 32.44 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TuanChe ADR
The number of cover stories for TuanChe ADR depends on current market conditions and TuanChe ADR's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TuanChe ADR is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TuanChe ADR's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TuanChe ADR Short Properties
TuanChe ADR's future price predictability will typically decrease when TuanChe ADR's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TuanChe ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TuanChe ADR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TuanChe ADR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TuanChe ADR to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade TuanChe Stock refer to our How to Trade TuanChe Stock guide.You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TuanChe ADR. If investors know TuanChe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TuanChe ADR listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (178.93) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.39) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of TuanChe ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TuanChe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TuanChe ADR's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TuanChe ADR's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TuanChe ADR's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TuanChe ADR's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TuanChe ADR's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TuanChe ADR is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TuanChe ADR's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.