TechCreate Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| TCGL Stock | 8.34 0.07 0.85% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TechCreate Group on the next trading day is expected to be 8.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.50. TechCreate Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although TechCreate's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of TechCreate's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of TechCreate fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of TechCreate's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using TechCreate hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TechCreate Group from the perspective of TechCreate response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TechCreate Group on the next trading day is expected to be 8.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.50. TechCreate after-hype prediction price | USD 8.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TechCreate | Build AI portfolio with TechCreate Stock |
TechCreate Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TechCreate price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TechCreate using various technical indicators. When you analyze TechCreate charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TechCreate Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TechCreate Group on the next trading day is expected to be 8.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TechCreate Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TechCreate's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TechCreate Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TechCreate | TechCreate Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
TechCreate Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TechCreate's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TechCreate's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.88 and 13.05, respectively. We have considered TechCreate's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TechCreate stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TechCreate stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0164 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.175 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0293 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.5017 |
Predictive Modules for TechCreate
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TechCreate Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TechCreate After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TechCreate at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TechCreate or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TechCreate, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TechCreate Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TechCreate's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TechCreate's historical news coverage. TechCreate's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.75 and 12.93, respectively. We have considered TechCreate's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TechCreate is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TechCreate Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
TechCreate Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TechCreate is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TechCreate backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TechCreate, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.09 | 4.59 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 22 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 22 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.34 | 8.34 | 0.00 |
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TechCreate Hype Timeline
TechCreate Group is at this time traded for 8.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. TechCreate is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on TechCreate is about 16392.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.31. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 22 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TechCreate to cross-verify your projections.TechCreate Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TechCreate's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TechCreate's future price movements. Getting to know how TechCreate's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TechCreate may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MLGO | MicroAlgo | 0.12 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 8.69 | (10.15) | 24.69 | |
| IDN | Intellicheck Mobilisa | 0.13 | 9 per month | 2.94 | 0.08 | 6.99 | (5.34) | 47.19 | |
| OPTX | Syntec Optics Holdings | (0.11) | 9 per month | 6.57 | 0.12 | 18.88 | (10.60) | 39.57 | |
| GAUZ | Gauzy Ltd Ordinary | (0.07) | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 16.83 | (16.67) | 59.08 | |
| NA | Nano Labs | (0.16) | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.45 | (6.20) | 38.30 | |
| PSQH | PSQ Holdings | (0.09) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 6.67 | (7.80) | 19.40 | |
| RSSS | Research Solutions | (0.20) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.14 | (3.72) | 20.31 | |
| VHC | VirnetX Holding Corp | (0.1) | 10 per month | 4.69 | 0.04 | 8.47 | (7.17) | 25.58 | |
| INTT | inTest | (0.07) | 6 per month | 4.00 | 0 | 5.91 | (7.54) | 16.53 | |
| HPAI | Helport AI Limited | 0.27 | 7 per month | 4.38 | 0.01 | 7.14 | (6.85) | 18.92 |
Other Forecasting Options for TechCreate
For every potential investor in TechCreate, whether a beginner or expert, TechCreate's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TechCreate Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TechCreate. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TechCreate's price trends.TechCreate Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TechCreate stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TechCreate could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TechCreate by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TechCreate Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TechCreate stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TechCreate shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TechCreate stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TechCreate Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 8813.28 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.3043 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 8.38 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 8.36 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.07 |
TechCreate Risk Indicators
The analysis of TechCreate's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TechCreate's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting techcreate stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.65 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.47 | |||
| Variance | 19.97 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.06 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.21) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TechCreate
The number of cover stories for TechCreate depends on current market conditions and TechCreate's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TechCreate is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TechCreate's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TechCreate to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Software - Infrastructure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TechCreate. If investors know TechCreate will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TechCreate listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of TechCreate Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TechCreate that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TechCreate's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TechCreate's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TechCreate's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TechCreate's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TechCreate's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TechCreate is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TechCreate's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.