Trip Group Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| TCOM Stock | USD 62.88 0.78 1.26% |
Trip Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Trip Group's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Trip Group's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Trip Group fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Trip Group's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.881 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.6814 | EPS Estimate Current Year 45.6127 | EPS Estimate Next Year 29.7926 | Wall Street Target Price 86.9886 |
Using Trip Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Trip Group Ltd from the perspective of Trip Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Trip Group using Trip Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Trip using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Trip Group's stock price.
Trip Group Short Interest
An investor who is long Trip Group may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Trip Group and may potentially protect profits, hedge Trip Group with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 66.5338 | Short Percent 0.0156 | Short Ratio 6.54 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.4 M | 50 Day MA 71.2682 |
Trip Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Trip Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Trip. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Trip can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Trip Group Ltd. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Trip Group Implied Volatility | 0.55 |
Trip Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Trip Group Ltd stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Trip Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Trip Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when Trip Group's options are near their expiration.
Trip Group after-hype prediction price | USD 62.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Trip Group to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Trip contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Trip Group Ltd will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0344% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Trip Group trading at USD 62.88, that is roughly USD 0.0216 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Trip Group's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Trip Group Ltd options at the current volatility level of 0.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Trip Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Trip Group's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Trip Group's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Trip Group stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Trip Group's open interest, investors have to compare it to Trip Group's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Trip Group is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Trip. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Trip Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Trip price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Trip using various technical indicators. When you analyze Trip charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 86714.88 | 56710.0 |
| Check Trip Group Volatility | Backtest Trip Group | Information Ratio |
Trip Group Trading Date Momentum
| On January 23 2026 Trip Group Ltd was traded for 62.88 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 63.17 and the lowest listed price was 62.13 . The trading volume for the day was 3.4 M. The trading history from January 23, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 1.19% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Trip Group to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Trip Group
For every potential investor in Trip, whether a beginner or expert, Trip Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Trip Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Trip. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Trip Group's price trends.Trip Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Trip Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Trip Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Trip Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Trip Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Trip Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Trip Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Trip Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Trip Group Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 56710.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.75 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 62.65 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 62.73 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.62 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.78 |
Trip Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Trip Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Trip Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting trip stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.68 | |||
| Variance | 7.2 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Trip Group
The number of cover stories for Trip Group depends on current market conditions and Trip Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Trip Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Trip Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Trip Group Short Properties
Trip Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Trip Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Trip Group Ltd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Trip Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trip Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 688.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 76.9 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Trip Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trip Group. If investors know Trip will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Trip Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.881 | Earnings Share 3.72 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.155 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Trip Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Trip that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Trip Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Trip Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Trip Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Trip Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trip Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trip Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trip Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.