BlackRock TCP Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| TCPC Stock | USD 5.15 0.09 1.72% |
BlackRock Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast BlackRock TCP stock prices and determine the direction of BlackRock TCP Capital's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BlackRock TCP's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of BlackRock TCP's share price is approaching 41. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BlackRock TCP, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.134 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2733 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.26 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8925 | Wall Street Target Price 6.5 |
Using BlackRock TCP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BlackRock TCP Capital from the perspective of BlackRock TCP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BlackRock TCP using BlackRock TCP's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BlackRock using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BlackRock TCP's stock price.
BlackRock TCP Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in BlackRock TCP's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards BlackRock. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of BlackRock TCP stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 6.6388 | Short Percent 0.038 | Short Ratio 3.1 | Shares Short Prior Month 3 M | 50 Day MA 5.7186 |
BlackRock Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BlackRock TCP Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 5.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.15.BlackRock TCP Capital Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to BlackRock TCP's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BlackRock. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BlackRock can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BlackRock TCP Capital. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of BlackRock TCP's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about BlackRock TCP.
BlackRock TCP Implied Volatility | 1.28 |
BlackRock TCP's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BlackRock TCP Capital stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BlackRock TCP's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BlackRock TCP stock will not fluctuate a lot when BlackRock TCP's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BlackRock TCP Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 5.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.15. BlackRock TCP after-hype prediction price | USD 5.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BlackRock | Build AI portfolio with BlackRock Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 BlackRock Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast BlackRock TCP's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in BlackRock TCP's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for BlackRock TCP stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current BlackRock TCP's open interest, investors have to compare it to BlackRock TCP's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of BlackRock TCP is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in BlackRock. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
BlackRock TCP Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BlackRock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BlackRock using various technical indicators. When you analyze BlackRock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BlackRock TCP Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BlackRock TCP Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 5.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BlackRock Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BlackRock TCP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BlackRock TCP Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BlackRock TCP | BlackRock TCP Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
BlackRock TCP Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BlackRock TCP's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BlackRock TCP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.79 and 7.47, respectively. We have considered BlackRock TCP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BlackRock TCP stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BlackRock TCP stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0152 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0858 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0156 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.15 |
Predictive Modules for BlackRock TCP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BlackRock TCP Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BlackRock TCP After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BlackRock TCP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BlackRock TCP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BlackRock TCP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BlackRock TCP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BlackRock TCP's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BlackRock TCP's historical news coverage. BlackRock TCP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.81 and 7.49, respectively. We have considered BlackRock TCP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BlackRock TCP is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BlackRock TCP Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.
BlackRock TCP Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BlackRock TCP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BlackRock TCP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BlackRock TCP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.34 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 3 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.15 | 5.15 | 0.00 |
|
BlackRock TCP Hype Timeline
BlackRock TCP Capital is at this time traded for 5.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. BlackRock is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on BlackRock TCP is about 900.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.13. About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.6. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. BlackRock TCP Capital has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.88. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.12. The firm last dividend was issued on the 17th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BlackRock TCP to cross-verify your projections.BlackRock TCP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BlackRock TCP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BlackRock TCP's future price movements. Getting to know how BlackRock TCP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BlackRock TCP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CION | Cion Investment Corp | 0.05 | 12 per month | 1.52 | (0.02) | 1.77 | (2.28) | 10.23 | |
| PNNT | PennantPark Investment | 0.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.16 | (2.42) | 7.91 | |
| HQL | Tekla Life Sciences | (0.18) | 32 per month | 1.31 | 0.03 | 2.88 | (2.15) | 6.78 | |
| GLAD | Gladstone Capital | (0.18) | 8 per month | 1.13 | 0.02 | 2.09 | (1.72) | 9.50 | |
| GAIN | Gladstone Investment | (0.12) | 8 per month | 0.68 | (0.08) | 1.23 | (1.23) | 3.47 | |
| ECC | Eagle Point Credit | 0.03 | 7 per month | 1.53 | (0.03) | 2.49 | (2.11) | 10.10 | |
| CNCK | Coincheck Group NV | (1.46) | 8 per month | 9.46 | 0.02 | 13.73 | (18.78) | 169.72 | |
| MCI | Barings Corporate Investors | (0.36) | 8 per month | 1.14 | 0.02 | 2.28 | (2.31) | 8.35 | |
| CCAP | Crescent Capital BDC | (0.18) | 7 per month | 1.52 | (0.02) | 2.37 | (2.38) | 6.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for BlackRock TCP
For every potential investor in BlackRock, whether a beginner or expert, BlackRock TCP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BlackRock Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BlackRock. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BlackRock TCP's price trends.BlackRock TCP Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BlackRock TCP stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BlackRock TCP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BlackRock TCP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BlackRock TCP Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BlackRock TCP stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BlackRock TCP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BlackRock TCP stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BlackRock TCP Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
BlackRock TCP Risk Indicators
The analysis of BlackRock TCP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BlackRock TCP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blackrock stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.25 | |||
| Variance | 5.06 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BlackRock TCP
The number of cover stories for BlackRock TCP depends on current market conditions and BlackRock TCP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BlackRock TCP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BlackRock TCP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
BlackRock TCP Short Properties
BlackRock TCP's future price predictability will typically decrease when BlackRock TCP's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BlackRock TCP Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BlackRock TCP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BlackRock TCP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 91.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BlackRock TCP to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Will Asset Management & Custody Banks sector continue expanding? Could BlackRock diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BlackRock TCP. If investors know BlackRock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every BlackRock TCP data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.134 | Dividend Share 1.09 | Earnings Share (0.12) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.29) |
The market value of BlackRock TCP Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BlackRock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BlackRock TCP's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BlackRock TCP's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because BlackRock TCP's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BlackRock TCP's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BlackRock TCP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BlackRock TCP is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, BlackRock TCP's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.