Teck Resources Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TECK Stock | USD 53.01 1.77 3.45% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Teck Resources Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 52.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.22. Teck Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Teck Resources' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Teck Resources' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Teck Resources fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength momentum indicator of Teck Resources' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.41) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5268 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.5007 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.0701 | Wall Street Target Price 47.1906 |
Using Teck Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Teck Resources Ltd from the perspective of Teck Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Teck Resources using Teck Resources' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Teck using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Teck Resources' stock price.
Teck Resources Short Interest
An investor who is long Teck Resources may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Teck Resources and may potentially protect profits, hedge Teck Resources with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 39.4269 | Short Percent 0.0095 | Short Ratio 2.05 | Shares Short Prior Month 7 M | 50 Day MA 45.37 |
Teck Resources Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Teck Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Teck. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Teck can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Teck Resources Ltd. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Teck Resources Implied Volatility | 0.44 |
Teck Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Teck Resources Ltd stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Teck Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Teck Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when Teck Resources' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Teck Resources Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 52.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.22. Teck Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 53.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teck Resources to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Teck contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Teck Resources Ltd will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0275% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Teck Resources trading at USD 53.01, that is roughly USD 0.0146 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Teck Resources' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Teck Resources Ltd options at the current volatility level of 0.44%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Teck Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Teck Resources' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Teck Resources' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Teck Resources stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Teck Resources' open interest, investors have to compare it to Teck Resources' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Teck Resources is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Teck. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Teck Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Teck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Teck using various technical indicators. When you analyze Teck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Teck Resources Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Teck Resources Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 52.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89, mean absolute percentage error of 1.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Teck Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Teck Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Teck Resources Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Teck Resources | Teck Resources Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Teck Resources Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Teck Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Teck Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.56 and 55.37, respectively. We have considered Teck Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Teck Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Teck Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.2762 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2204 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8888 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0197 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 54.2172 |
Predictive Modules for Teck Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teck Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Teck Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Teck Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Teck Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Teck Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Teck Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Teck Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Teck Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Teck Resources' historical news coverage. Teck Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.60 and 55.42, respectively. We have considered Teck Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Teck Resources is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Teck Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Teck Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Teck Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Teck Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Teck Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 2.41 | 0.50 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
53.01 | 53.01 | 0.00 |
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Teck Resources Hype Timeline
Teck Resources is at this time traded for 53.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.5, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Teck is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.42%. %. The volatility of related hype on Teck Resources is about 2648.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.05. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.44. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Teck Resources has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.96. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 11th of May 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teck Resources to cross-verify your projections.Teck Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Teck Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Teck Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Teck Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Teck Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PPG | PPG Industries | 0.85 | 9 per month | 1.41 | 0.06 | 2.31 | (1.72) | 8.02 | |
| STLD | Steel Dynamics | (0.55) | 23 per month | 1.31 | 0.15 | 3.59 | (2.78) | 8.57 | |
| PKX | POSCO Holdings | (0.46) | 11 per month | 1.80 | 0.09 | 5.01 | (3.37) | 18.39 | |
| CX | Cemex SAB de | (0.04) | 12 per month | 1.22 | 0.19 | 3.44 | (1.76) | 13.23 | |
| AMRZ | Amrize | 0.72 | 9 per month | 1.52 | 0.05 | 3.46 | (2.58) | 8.15 | |
| RS | Reliance Steel Aluminum | 0.54 | 9 per month | 0.72 | 0.15 | 2.67 | (1.55) | 5.44 | |
| NTR | Nutrien | 0.78 | 7 per month | 1.65 | 0.10 | 3.39 | (2.66) | 10.08 | |
| JHX | James Hardie Industries | (3.28) | 6 per month | 2.32 | 0.07 | 4.42 | (3.55) | 10.38 | |
| SQM | Sociedad Quimica y | 1.40 | 10 per month | 1.81 | 0.34 | 6.22 | (4.06) | 13.34 | |
| AGI | Alamos Gold | 0.95 | 11 per month | 2.91 | 0.1 | 5.03 | (4.64) | 12.47 |
Other Forecasting Options for Teck Resources
For every potential investor in Teck, whether a beginner or expert, Teck Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Teck Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Teck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Teck Resources' price trends.Teck Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Teck Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Teck Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Teck Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Teck Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Teck Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Teck Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Teck Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Teck Resources Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 143150.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.439024 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 53.39 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 53.26 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.51 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.77 |
Teck Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of Teck Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Teck Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting teck stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Variance | 5.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.68 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.34 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Teck Resources
The number of cover stories for Teck Resources depends on current market conditions and Teck Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Teck Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Teck Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Teck Resources Short Properties
Teck Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Teck Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Teck Resources Ltd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Teck Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Teck Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 520 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teck Resources to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Teck Resources. If investors know Teck will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Teck Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.41) | Dividend Share 0.5 | Earnings Share 1.78 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.184 |
The market value of Teck Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Teck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Teck Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Teck Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Teck Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Teck Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Teck Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Teck Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Teck Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.